Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 23°C (26.5% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting peaks of 23-25°C under persistent overcast skies and possible showers. Recent developments include a rebound to 25°C on April 4 amid partial clearing, following rain-cooled highs of 20-21°C earlier in the week from frontal passages, heightening uncertainty in cloud cover evolution and southerly wind strength that could advect warmer air or trigger convection to cap peaks at 21°C or below (20%). Differentiating factors hinge on afternoon insolation versus moisture-laden low-level jets, with historical early-April norms of 20-23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport underscoring model spreads of 2-4°C; expect refined guidance from daily 00Z/12Z runs through April 6.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 7?
23°C 28%
21°C or below 20%
25°C 15%
26°C 15%
21°C or below
20%
22°C
11%
23°C
28%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
15%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 28%
21°C or below 20%
25°C 15%
26°C 15%
21°C or below
20%
22°C
11%
23°C
28%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
15%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 23°C (26.5% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 7, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting peaks of 23-25°C under persistent overcast skies and possible showers. Recent developments include a rebound to 25°C on April 4 amid partial clearing, following rain-cooled highs of 20-21°C earlier in the week from frontal passages, heightening uncertainty in cloud cover evolution and southerly wind strength that could advect warmer air or trigger convection to cap peaks at 21°C or below (20%). Differentiating factors hinge on afternoon insolation versus moisture-laden low-level jets, with historical early-April norms of 20-23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport underscoring model spreads of 2-4°C; expect refined guidance from daily 00Z/12Z runs through April 6.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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