National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's highest temperature on April 7 in the 53-57°F range, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with 49% implied probability for 53°F or below amid lingering cool marine air. Persistent onshore flow over the past week has funneled moist Pacific air into the Puget Sound region, capping recent highs in the mid-50s through rainy systems ending April 4, slightly below the early April climatological average of 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport. Upper-level troughing sustains this pattern, though partial clearing could allow modest warming. Daily NWS updates and new 12z model runs through April 6 will refine probabilities, reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
53°F or below 49%
54-55°F 25%
56-57°F 22%
58-59°F 5.5%
53°F or below
49%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
<1%
53°F or below 49%
54-55°F 25%
56-57°F 22%
58-59°F 5.5%
53°F or below
49%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's highest temperature on April 7 in the 53-57°F range, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with 49% implied probability for 53°F or below amid lingering cool marine air. Persistent onshore flow over the past week has funneled moist Pacific air into the Puget Sound region, capping recent highs in the mid-50s through rainy systems ending April 4, slightly below the early April climatological average of 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport. Upper-level troughing sustains this pattern, though partial clearing could allow modest warming. Daily NWS updates and new 12z model runs through April 6 will refine probabilities, reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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