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Highest temperature in Moscow on April 7?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 7?

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

Apr. 7

Apr. 8

Apr. 5

Apr. 6

Apr. 7

Apr. 8

6°C 31%

8°C 28%

7°C 20%

9°C 19%

Polymarket
NEU

6°C 31%

8°C 28%

7°C 20%

9°C 19%

Polymarket
NEU

3°C or below

$314 Vol.

2%

4°C

$57 Vol.

5%

5°C

$329 Vol.

5%

6°C

$63 Vol.

27%

7°C

$48 Vol.

21%

8°C

$61 Vol.

26%

9°C

$20 Vol.

19%

10°C

$191 Vol.

15%

11°C

$32 Vol.

6%

12°C

$1,442 Vol.

4%

13°C or higher

$466 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 6–8°C for Moscow's highest temperature on April 7, with 6°C at 26%, 8°C at 25.5%, and 7°C at 22%, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 7°C but varying 4–10°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover and persistence of cool northerly flows. Early April climatology supports this tight range, as historical highs average 6–7°C during transitional spring conditions prone to rapid shifts from continental polar air masses. A cooling trend over the past 48 hours—highs falling from mid-teens to near 8°C—has bolstered lower outcomes, while patchy rain potential could cap peaks. New 12Z model runs on April 6 will likely clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,023
Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 6–8°C for Moscow's highest temperature on April 7, with 6°C at 26%, 8°C at 25.5%, and 7°C at 22%, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 7°C but varying 4–10°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover and persistence of cool northerly flows. Early April climatology supports this tight range, as historical highs average 6–7°C during transitional spring conditions prone to rapid shifts from continental polar air masses. A cooling trend over the past 48 hours—highs falling from mid-teens to near 8°C—has bolstered lower outcomes, while patchy rain potential could cap peaks. New 12Z model runs on April 6 will likely clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,023
Enddatum
7. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in Moscow on April 7?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „6°C" mit 27%, gefolgt von „8°C" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 27¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in Moscow on April 7?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in Moscow on April 7?" ist „6°C" mit 27%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „8°C" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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