Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 24°C as the most likely highest temperature in Chongqing today at 41.5% implied probability, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of sunny conditions with a projected daytime high near 26°C (78°F), tempered by early morning light rain observations at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport (METAR reports showing 14°C with scattered clouds and high humidity). This positions 23°C (24.5%) and 25°C or higher (20%) as close contenders amid short-range forecast uncertainty, as residual moisture and potential afternoon cloud development could cap peak warming below model guidance. Historical early April highs average 21-23°C, but spring ridging supports above-normal temperatures; intraday official station data from CMA will resolve the market as conditions evolve.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
24°C 45%
23°C 30%
25°C or higher 18%
22°C 11%
$66,508 Vol.
$66,508 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
30%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
18%
24°C 45%
23°C 30%
25°C or higher 18%
22°C 11%
$66,508 Vol.
$66,508 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
30%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 24°C as the most likely highest temperature in Chongqing today at 41.5% implied probability, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast of sunny conditions with a projected daytime high near 26°C (78°F), tempered by early morning light rain observations at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport (METAR reports showing 14°C with scattered clouds and high humidity). This positions 23°C (24.5%) and 25°C or higher (20%) as close contenders amid short-range forecast uncertainty, as residual moisture and potential afternoon cloud development could cap peak warming below model guidance. Historical early April highs average 21-23°C, but spring ridging supports above-normal temperatures; intraday official station data from CMA will resolve the market as conditions evolve.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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