Polymarket traders price a tight race among $4,200-$4,600 (19.5%), $4,600-$5,000 (17.5%), and $5,000-$5,400 (16.1%) outcomes for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, reflecting uncertainty two months out as spot prices consolidate near $4,700 after a 2-3% weekly pullback. The decline stems from dollar strength amid President Trump's Iran escalation rhetoric boosting safe-haven USD flows, offsetting earlier stagflation fears and central bank buying that fueled a rally past $4,800. Competitive dynamics hinge on Fed policy divergence—anticipated rate cuts versus sticky inflation (March CPI pending)—with rising Treasury yields capping upside. Key differentiators include the April 29 FOMC meeting and May nonfarm payrolls, which could sway real yield expectations and risk appetite.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWorum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
Worum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
$4.200-$4.600 19.5%
4.600–5.000 $ 18%
$5.000-$5.400 15.1%
$3.800-$4.200 13.7%
$862,110 Vol.
$862,110 Vol.
<$3.800
8%
$3.800-$4.200
14%
$4.200-$4.600
20%
4.600–5.000 $
18%
$5.000-$5.400
15%
$5.400-$5.800
12%
$5.800–$6.200
6%
>6.200 $
5%
$4.200-$4.600 19.5%
4.600–5.000 $ 18%
$5.000-$5.400 15.1%
$3.800-$4.200 13.7%
$862,110 Vol.
$862,110 Vol.
<$3.800
8%
$3.800-$4.200
14%
$4.200-$4.600
20%
4.600–5.000 $
18%
$5.000-$5.400
15%
$5.400-$5.800
12%
$5.800–$6.200
6%
>6.200 $
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a tight race among $4,200-$4,600 (19.5%), $4,600-$5,000 (17.5%), and $5,000-$5,400 (16.1%) outcomes for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, reflecting uncertainty two months out as spot prices consolidate near $4,700 after a 2-3% weekly pullback. The decline stems from dollar strength amid President Trump's Iran escalation rhetoric boosting safe-haven USD flows, offsetting earlier stagflation fears and central bank buying that fueled a rally past $4,800. Competitive dynamics hinge on Fed policy divergence—anticipated rate cuts versus sticky inflation (March CPI pending)—with rising Treasury yields capping upside. Key differentiators include the April 29 FOMC meeting and May nonfarm payrolls, which could sway real yield expectations and risk appetite.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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