Market icon

What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?

Market icon

What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?

$277,658 Vol.

Dec 31, 2024
Polymarket

$277,658 Vol.

Polymarket

Kaczynski

$49,841 Vol.

No

Crypto/Bitcoin

$19,406 Vol.

No

Deny, Defend, Depose

$21,428 Vol.

No

Brian Thompson

$54,470 Vol.

No

Trump

$12,601 Vol.

No

AI

$14,048 Vol.

No

Woke

$13,105 Vol.

No

Preexisting condition

$12,510 Vol.

No

Fauci

$13,681 Vol.

No

Biden

$7,888 Vol.

No

Black lives matter

$12,885 Vol.

No

Vaccine

$10,496 Vol.

No

UPenn

$15,080 Vol.

No

McDonald's

$20,218 Vol.

No

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "crypto" or "Bitcoin". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count toward a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the terms "deny", "defend", and "depose". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The manifesto must contain all named terms for this market to resolve to "Yes". Any usage of the terms regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the terms, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the terms will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as the named terms are part of them. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Brian" or "Thompson". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Brian" or "Thompson" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Brian Thompson. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "Trump". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "woke". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "woke" is part of the compound word and references leftist ideology which tends to focus on social justice. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "preexisting condition". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Fauci". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Fauci" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Anthony Fauci. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Biden". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Black lives matter" or "BLM". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "BLM" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Black lives matter movement. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "vaccine". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a preparation administered (as by injection) to stimulate the body's immune response against a specific infectious agent or disease. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "UPenn" or "University of Pennsylvania". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "UPenn" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the University of Pennsylvania. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "McDonald's". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution.

Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski.

This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify.

If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$277,658
Enddatum
Dec 13, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Dec 9, 2024, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "crypto" or "Bitcoin". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count toward a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the terms "deny", "defend", and "depose". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The manifesto must contain all named terms for this market to resolve to "Yes". Any usage of the terms regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the terms, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the terms will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as the named terms are part of them. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Brian" or "Thompson". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Brian" or "Thompson" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Brian Thompson. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the word "Trump". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "woke". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "woke" is part of the compound word and references leftist ideology which tends to focus on social justice. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "preexisting condition". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Fauci". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Fauci" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Anthony Fauci. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Biden". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Black lives matter" or "BLM". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "BLM" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Black lives matter movement. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "vaccine". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a preparation administered (as by injection) to stimulate the body's immune response against a specific infectious agent or disease. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "UPenn" or "University of Pennsylvania". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "UPenn" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the University of Pennsylvania. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "McDonald's". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify. If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 14 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kaczynski" mit 0%, gefolgt von „Crypto/Bitcoin" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 0¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 0% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $277.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 9, 2024 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 14 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" ist „Kaczynski" mit nur 0%, dicht gefolgt von „Crypto/Bitcoin" mit 0%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.