Name: Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien
Start: 2025-09-18T20:16:07.36237Z
End: 2026-10-04T00:00:00Z

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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Tarcisio de Freitas

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Jair Bolsonaro

Fernando Haddad

Michelle Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Ratinho Júnior

Renan Santos

Flávio Bolsonaro

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sich für die Stichwahl um das brasilianische Präsidentenamt qualifizieren?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Wird ein Präsidentschaftskandidat in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Wahl einen eindeutigen Sieg erringen?

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Wird George Russell der Formel-1-Fahrerschampion 2026 sein?

Wird Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva die brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Wird Mercedes 2026 Formel-1-Konstrukteursweltmeister sein?

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Big Brother Brasil 26.

If Big Brother Brasil 26 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Big Brother Brasil 26 has otherwise not concluded by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. 

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother Brasil 26.

Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Bayern München die Bundesliga-Saison 2025/26 unter den Top 4 abschließen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Inter in der Serie A-Saison 2025/26 unter die Top 4 kommen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Paris St-Germain in der Saison 2025–26 unter die Top 4 der Ligue 1 kommen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brazil's unemployment rate for Q4 2025 is below 6.3% when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to IBGE's (https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/indicators#desemprego) public release of the Q4 2025 figure unemployment, expected in January 2026. If the publication of this figure is delayed beyond February 28, 2026 ET, this market will resolve according to the last published figure. 

Because this market's resolution source reports quarterly unemployment to one decimal point (e.g. 4.5%), this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.


Brasiliens Arbeitslosenquote unter 6,3 % im 4. Quartal 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venezuela-Wahl bis spätestens 31. März 2026 geplant?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wurde ein Richter des brasilianischen Obersten Bundesgerichts (STF) vor 2027 durch ein Amtsenthebungsverfahren abgesetzt?

This is a market to predict whether Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slam championships in 2026.

If Carlos Alcaraz wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Jannik Sinner, this market will resolve to “Alcaraz”.

If Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Carlos Alcaraz, this market will resolve to “Sinner”.

If Alcaraz and Sinner win the same amount of Grand Slams in 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.

Only victories in Men’s Singles Grand Slam tournaments will be considered for this market’s resolution. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.

If it becomes impossible for either Alcaraz or Sinner to win as many Grand Slams in 2026 as the other (e.g. Alcaraz wins the first three grand slams), this market will resolve immediately. Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Werden Alcaraz oder Sinner 2026 mehr Grand Slams gewinnen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the La Liga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the La Liga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official La Liga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Real Madrid die Saison 2025/26 in der La Liga unter den Top 4 abschließen?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Goals scored in Bundesliga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., DFB-Pokal, German Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Harry Kane in der Bundesliga-Saison 2025–26 Torschützenkönig sein?

This polymarket will resolve to the team that wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed pair wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this pair to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who perform live and in person at the Todo Mundo no Rio 2026 music festival, currently expected to take place in April or May. Appearances during which the listed artist does not perform will not count towards the resolution of this market.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage and information from Todo Mundo no Rio 2026 festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Shakira beim Musikfestival Todo Mundo no Rio 2026 auftreten?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Santiago Gimenez Torschützenkönig in der Serie A Saison 2025-26 werden?

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
 
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the second round of the Portuguese Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Wird António José Seguro die zweite Runde mit 20–30 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Spanien die FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Arsenal in der EPL-Saison 2025–26 unter den Top 4 landen?

This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.

This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.

For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No". 

If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".

Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.

If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird kein männlicher Spieler im Jahr 2026 einen Kalender-Grand-Slam gewinnen?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver.

If the listed driver wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Wird Kylian Mbappé den Ballon d'Or 2026 gewinnen?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Scottie Scheffler das Masters-Turnier 2026 gewinnen?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Mason Greenwood in der Saison 2025-26 der beste Torschütze der Ligue 1 sein?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Werden die Zwischenwahlen 2026 wie geplant stattfinden?

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Sanremo 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Sanremo 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Sanremo rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanremo (https://sanremofestival.info/), including live footage of Sanremo 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Werden Fedez & Marco Masini Sanremo 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any English Premier League (EPL) reaches at least 90 points in the 2025-26 Premier League season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025-2026 Premier League season is cancelled or otherwise not completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no Premier League club has reached 90 points, this market will resolve to "No" at that time.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League (https://www.premierleague.com/en/tables).

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$2,957,073 Umsatz
53%

Flávio Bolsonaro
$1,598,792 Umsatz
22%

Renan Santos
$1,182,522 Umsatz
7%

Tarcisio de Freitas
$1,587,415 Umsatz
6%

Ratinho Júnior
$1,209,953 Umsatz
6%

Fernando Haddad
$1,007,326 Umsatz
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
$1,262,849 Umsatz
1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
$1,281,991 Umsatz
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
$900,570 Umsatz
<1%

Marktkontext

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Regeln

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Marktkontext

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Über

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$2,957,073 Umsatz53%Kaufen Ja53¢Kaufen Nein48¢

Flávio Bolsonaro$1,598,792 Umsatz22%Kaufen Ja21.9¢Kaufen Nein78.8¢

Renan Santos$1,182,522 Umsatz7%Kaufen Ja6.7¢Kaufen Nein93.5¢

Tarcisio de Freitas$1,587,415 Umsatz6%Kaufen Ja5.9¢Kaufen Nein94.3¢

Ratinho Júnior$1,209,953 Umsatz6%Kaufen Ja5.8¢Kaufen Nein94.4¢

Fernando Haddad$1,007,326 Umsatz1%Kaufen Ja1.4¢Kaufen Nein98.7¢

Jair Bolsonaro$1,262,849 Umsatz1%Kaufen Ja0.9¢Kaufen Nein99.2¢

Michelle Bolsonaro$1,281,991 Umsatz<1%Kaufen Ja0.4¢Kaufen Nein99.7¢

Eduardo Bolsonaro$900,570 Umsatz<1%Kaufen Ja0.2¢Kaufen Nein99.9¢

Marktkontext

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Regeln

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Marktkontext

Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien

Über

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$2,957,073 Umsatz
53%

Flávio Bolsonaro
$1,598,792 Umsatz
22%

Renan Santos
$1,182,522 Umsatz
7%

Tarcisio de Freitas
$1,587,415 Umsatz
6%

Ratinho Júnior
$1,209,953 Umsatz
6%

Fernando Haddad
$1,007,326 Umsatz
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
$1,262,849 Umsatz
1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
$1,281,991 Umsatz
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
$900,570 Umsatz
<1%