Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.5% implied probability), driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the frontier AI developer is targeting a Q4 debut as early as October, with bankers pitching a potential $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation following its February $30 billion funding round. Surging annualized revenue to $19 billion from Claude large language model enterprise adoption, plus strategic acquisitions like Coefficient Bio for life sciences AI, bolster its private positioning amid regulatory scrutiny and competition with OpenAI. Scenarios challenging this include an accelerated confidential S-1 filing or favorable market conditions prompting an earlier launch, though standard SEC review timelines for mega AI IPOs make a pre-July listing unlikely. Watch for official announcements or banker updates ahead of earnings cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 96.6%
600 Mrd.+ 1.7%
400–600 Mrd. <1%
200–300 Mrd. <1%
$927,311 Vol.
$927,311 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<100 Mrd. $
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
1%
300–400 Mrd.
1%
400–600 Mrd.
1%
600 Mrd.+
2%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
97%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 96.6%
600 Mrd.+ 1.7%
400–600 Mrd. <1%
200–300 Mrd. <1%
$927,311 Vol.
$927,311 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<100 Mrd. $
$191,540 Vol.
<1%
100–200 Mrd.
$64,509 Vol.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
$121,064 Vol.
1%
300–400 Mrd.
$62,172 Vol.
1%
400–600 Mrd.
$93,276 Vol.
1%
600 Mrd.+
$232,681 Vol.
2%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$162,068 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.5% implied probability), driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the frontier AI developer is targeting a Q4 debut as early as October, with bankers pitching a potential $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation following its February $30 billion funding round. Surging annualized revenue to $19 billion from Claude large language model enterprise adoption, plus strategic acquisitions like Coefficient Bio for life sciences AI, bolster its private positioning amid regulatory scrutiny and competition with OpenAI. Scenarios challenging this include an accelerated confidential S-1 filing or favorable market conditions prompting an earlier launch, though standard SEC review timelines for mega AI IPOs make a pre-July listing unlikely. Watch for official announcements or banker updates ahead of earnings cycles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$927,311Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.5% implied probability), driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the frontier AI developer is targeting a Q4 debut as early as October, with bankers pitching a potential $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation following its February $30 billion funding round. Surging annualized revenue to $19 billion from Claude large language model enterprise adoption, plus strategic acquisitions like Coefficient Bio for life sciences AI, bolster its private positioning amid regulatory scrutiny and competition with OpenAI. Scenarios challenging this include an accelerated confidential S-1 filing or favorable market conditions prompting an earlier launch, though standard SEC review timelines for mega AI IPOs make a pre-July listing unlikely. Watch for official announcements or banker updates ahead of earnings cycles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$927,311Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.5% implied probability), driven by recent reporting from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the frontier AI developer is targeting a Q4 debut as early as October, with bankers pitching a potential $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation following its February $30 billion funding round. Surging annualized revenue to $19 billion from Claude large language model enterprise adoption, plus strategic acquisitions like Coefficient Bio for life sciences AI, bolster its private positioning amid regulatory scrutiny and competition with OpenAI. Scenarios challenging this include an accelerated confidential S-1 filing or favorable market conditions prompting an earlier launch, though standard SEC review timelines for mega AI IPOs make a pre-July listing unlikely. Watch for official announcements or banker updates ahead of earnings cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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