Profit/Loss
Past Day
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
40.3ยข
31.5ยข

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
71ยข
60.5ยข
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
53.9ยข
50.5ยข

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
33ยข
21.5ยข

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
53ยข
99.7ยข

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
52.1ยข
40.5ยข

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
62ยข
67.5ยข

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
66ยข
66.5ยข

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?
78ยข
66ยข
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.8ยข
0.7ยข

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
14ยข
5ยข

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
60ยข
48ยข

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?