Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
91¢
96.6¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
74¢
58¢

Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?
76¢
86.7¢

Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
77.5¢
91.6¢

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
92¢
98¢

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
84.3¢
93.4¢

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Iran leadership change by December 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
68.7¢
68.2¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
74.7¢
59.5¢

Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?