US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1?

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?

Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

simpton

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Activity

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Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

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2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

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{count} Orders

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Merge ${amount} in positions

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Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

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Profit/Loss