Profit/Loss
Past Day
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
35¢
100¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
20.4¢
24.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
47.9¢
53.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
73.1¢
68.9¢

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
76.5¢
100¢

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?
97.4¢
99.5¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
75.3¢
76.8¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
43.9¢
36¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
21.8¢
21¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
85¢
79¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
98.7¢
100¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
59¢
99.9¢

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
23.5¢
8¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
23¢
23.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
