defi4real

Joined Nov 2023·140 views

$78.8K

Positions Value

$2,755.12

Biggest Win

724

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$27.26

Past Day

Current

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

77,497.5 shares

50¢

58.4¢

$45,219.80$6,471.04 (16.7%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

77,497.5 shares

$45,219.80$6,471.04 (16.7%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

77,497.9 shares

50¢

41.7¢

$32,277.89-$6,492.23 (-16.75%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

77,497.9 shares

$32,277.89-$6,492.23 (-16.75%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 77¢

220.0 shares

77¢

85.4¢

$187.77$18.37 (10.84%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 77¢

220.0 shares

$187.77$18.37 (10.84%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85¢

150.0 shares

85¢

98.6¢

$147.83$20.32 (15.94%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85¢

150.0 shares

$147.83$20.32 (15.94%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

No 93.9¢

120.0 shares

93.9¢

95.9¢

$115.02$2.34 (2.08%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

No 93.9¢

120.0 shares

$115.02$2.34 (2.08%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes 83¢

120.0 shares

83¢

86.5¢

$103.80$4.20 (4.22%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes 83¢

120.0 shares

$103.80$4.20 (4.22%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 84¢

110.0 shares

84¢

93.5¢

$102.85$10.45 (11.31%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 84¢

110.0 shares

$102.85$10.45 (11.31%)

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

No 86.4¢

200.0 shares

86.4¢

50.3¢

$100.60-$72.24 (-41.8%)

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

No 86.4¢

200.0 shares

$100.60-$72.24 (-41.8%)

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

No 92.4¢

110.0 shares

92.4¢

90.3¢

$99.27-$2.37 (-2.33%)

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

No 92.4¢

110.0 shares

$99.27-$2.37 (-2.33%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 77.4¢

100.0 shares

77.4¢

80.6¢

$80.60$3.20 (4.13%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 77.4¢

100.0 shares

$80.60$3.20 (4.13%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 78.3¢

75.0 shares

78.3¢

93.5¢

$70.13$11.43 (19.46%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 78.3¢

75.0 shares

$70.13$11.43 (19.46%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 82¢

70.0 shares

82¢

91.5¢

$64.05$6.65 (11.59%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 82¢

70.0 shares

$64.05$6.65 (11.59%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 74¢

70.0 shares

74¢

83.5¢

$58.45$6.65 (12.84%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 74¢

70.0 shares

$58.45$6.65 (12.84%)

StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No 95.5¢

59.9 shares

95.5¢

95.7¢

$57.32$0.12 (0.21%)

StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No 95.5¢

59.9 shares

$57.32$0.12 (0.21%)

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No 81¢

58.7 shares

81¢

85¢

$49.92$2.35 (4.94%)

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No 81¢

58.7 shares

$49.92$2.35 (4.94%)

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 40.1¢

100.0 shares

40.1¢

36.9¢

$36.90-$3.20 (-7.98%)

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 40.1¢

100.0 shares

$36.90-$3.20 (-7.98%)

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 74.5¢

81.9 shares

74.5¢

33.5¢

$27.44-$33.57 (-55.03%)

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 74.5¢

81.9 shares

$27.44-$33.57 (-55.03%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 14¢

50.0 shares

14¢

28.5¢

$14.25$7.24 (103.5%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 14¢

50.0 shares

$14.25$7.24 (103.5%)

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 49.9¢

50.0 shares

49.9¢

25.8¢

$12.88-$12.08 (-48.4%)

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 49.9¢

50.0 shares

$12.88-$12.08 (-48.4%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 79¢

5.0 shares

79¢

94.6¢

$4.73$0.78 (19.74%)

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 79¢

5.0 shares

$4.73$0.78 (19.74%)