Profit/Loss
Past Day

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
24.3¢
26.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
92¢
92.5¢

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
71.9¢
73.5¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
75¢
87.5¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
16¢
17.5¢

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
9.1¢
8.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
56.7¢
62.5¢

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
11.7¢
7.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
50.5¢
8.5¢

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
81.9¢
94.2¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
4.4¢
1.8¢

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
16.8¢
8.5¢

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
0.9¢
0.6¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
15.2¢
9.5¢

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
18.9¢
15.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
17.3¢
14.5¢

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
