balthazar

Joined Jan 2025·38.2K views

$247.8K

Positions Value

$116.4K

Biggest Win

91,950

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1.2M
Total Volume: 80M

Profit/Loss

$13,487.20

Past Day

Market

Avg

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 79.4¢

30,095.3 shares

79.4¢

77.5¢

$23,323.86-$572.44 (-2.4%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 79.4¢

30,095.3 shares

$23,323.86-$572.44 (-2.4%)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Yes 70.8¢

9,384.3 shares

70.8¢

96.3¢

$9,032.40$2,389.34 (35.97%)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Yes 70.8¢

9,384.3 shares

$9,032.40$2,389.34 (35.97%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 72¢

9,955.6 shares

72¢

83.5¢

$8,312.91$1,148.98 (16.04%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 72¢

9,955.6 shares

$8,312.91$1,148.98 (16.04%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 88.8¢

7,869.8 shares

88.8¢

93.1¢

$7,322.88$335.45 (4.8%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 88.8¢

7,869.8 shares

$7,322.88$335.45 (4.8%)

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Yes 59.6¢

7,948.6 shares

59.6¢

88.4¢

$7,022.60$2,282.57 (48.16%)

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Yes 59.6¢

7,948.6 shares

$7,022.60$2,282.57 (48.16%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.4¢

6,492.0 shares

65.4¢

98.1¢

$6,365.36$2,122.45 (50.02%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.4¢

6,492.0 shares

$6,365.36$2,122.45 (50.02%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 81.9¢

6,382.3 shares

81.9¢

98.2¢

$6,267.41$1,040.36 (19.9%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 81.9¢

6,382.3 shares

$6,267.41$1,040.36 (19.9%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 47.1¢

7,699.6 shares

47.1¢

78.5¢

$6,044.16$2,415.56 (66.57%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 47.1¢

7,699.6 shares

$6,044.16$2,415.56 (66.57%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 19.6¢

25,197.8 shares

19.6¢

19.5¢

$4,913.57-$12.74 (-0.26%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 19.6¢

25,197.8 shares

$4,913.57-$12.74 (-0.26%)

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No 35.6¢

4,821.8 shares

35.6¢

99.7¢

$4,807.35$3,091.40 (180.16%)

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No 35.6¢

4,821.8 shares

$4,807.35$3,091.40 (180.16%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?

No 75.9¢

3,819.7 shares

75.9¢

99.5¢

$3,800.57$900.99 (31.07%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?

No 75.9¢

3,819.7 shares

$3,800.57$900.99 (31.07%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 shares

91.8¢

95.9¢

$3,423.19$145.32 (4.43%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 shares

$3,423.19$145.32 (4.43%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,660.5 shares

95.3¢

98.4¢

$2,616.60$80.47 (3.17%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,660.5 shares

$2,616.60$80.47 (3.17%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 63.7¢

2,757.2 shares

63.7¢

85.9¢

$2,368.43$611.83 (34.83%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 63.7¢

2,757.2 shares

$2,368.43$611.83 (34.83%)

Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No 99¢

2,220.5 shares

99¢

100¢

$2,219.44$20.67 (0.94%)

Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No 99¢

2,220.5 shares

$2,219.44$20.67 (0.94%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 25¢

13,053.9 shares

25¢

16¢

$2,088.62-$1,170.11 (-35.91%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 25¢

13,053.9 shares

$2,088.62-$1,170.11 (-35.91%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No 99.4¢

2,077.8 shares

99.4¢

99.2¢

$2,061.22-$4.67 (-0.23%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No 99.4¢

2,077.8 shares

$2,061.22-$4.67 (-0.23%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 13.9¢

9,228.0 shares

13.9¢

20¢

$1,845.60$564.91 (44.11%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 13.9¢

9,228.0 shares

$1,845.60$564.91 (44.11%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 50.6¢

2,590.0 shares

50.6¢

69¢

$1,787.12$475.13 (36.21%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 50.6¢

2,590.0 shares

$1,787.12$475.13 (36.21%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 95.2¢

1,829.3 shares

95.2¢

96.3¢

$1,761.66$19.94 (1.14%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 95.2¢

1,829.3 shares

$1,761.66$19.94 (1.14%)