Profit/Loss
Past Day

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
85.8¢
96.4¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
49.6¢
64.5¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
62¢
68.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
61¢
69.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
85¢
93.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
51¢
65.5¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
13.3¢
12.5¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
75¢
83.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
32.2¢
40.8¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
50.5¢
14.5¢

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
27.2¢
31.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
16.8¢
15.5¢

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
15.2¢
17.5¢

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
14.7¢
16.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
71¢
73¢

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
71.7¢
3.6¢

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
17.3¢
14.5¢

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
34.7¢
45.5¢

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
