Profit/Loss
Past Day

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
61¢
60¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
32.2¢
51.7¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
8¢
11.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
50.5¢
10.5¢

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
16.8¢
15.5¢

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
27.2¢
22.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
14.8¢
9.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
9¢
5.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
15.2¢
10.5¢

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
18.9¢
15.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
17.3¢
12.5¢

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
71¢
39.5¢

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
71.7¢
1.4¢

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
2.6¢
3.2¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
18.6¢
20.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
34.7¢
10.5¢

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.9¢
0.4¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
40.3¢
25.5¢

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
