Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

profile pic

Judea-Pearl

Joined Apr 2026·572 views

$3,524.42

Positions Value

$1,297.65

Biggest Win

481

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$60.37
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 52.6¢
496.4 shares
$325.16$64.18 (24.59%)
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 88.8¢
320.2 shares
$296.15$11.91 (4.19%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 70.2¢
390.8 shares
$295.02$20.78 (7.58%)
icon for Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 18.8¢
1,337.7 shares
$247.47-$4.26 (-1.69%)
icon for Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 35.2¢
301.3 shares
$176.23$70.05 (65.97%)
icon for NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.4¢
544.6 shares
$171.54$22.25 (14.9%)
icon for Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Yes 28.5¢
221.2 shares
$170.44$107.44 (170.56%)
icon for Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

Yes 25.7¢
548.9 shares
$145.45$4.18 (2.96%)
icon for Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Yes 64.5¢
172.0 shares
$112.67$1.72 (1.55%)
icon for Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 86.5¢
100.0 shares
$95.75$9.25 (10.69%)
icon for Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?

Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?

Yes 88.5¢
100.0 shares
$90.00$1.50 (1.69%)
icon for Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 71.7¢
120.0 shares
$88.20$2.10 (2.44%)
icon for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 26.8¢
527.1 shares
$81.71-$59.39 (-42.09%)
icon for Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 26.7¢
280.0 shares
$79.79$4.93 (6.59%)
icon for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Yes 18.5¢
645.4 shares
$74.22-$45.24 (-37.87%)
icon for Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 59.6¢
157.6 shares
$65.78-$28.16 (-29.97%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 46.8¢
100.0 shares
$59.49$12.65 (27.01%)
icon for Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No 65¢
64.9 shares
$55.51$13.31 (31.54%)