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预测与赔率

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Tony Awards: Best Play Winner

Tony Awards: Best Play Winner

74%

Liberation

$710 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 21 天内

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

20%

$5.7K 交易量

$35 Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

F1: Action of the Year

F1: Action of the Year

75%

Kimi Antonelli

$9.9K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

38%

Kimi Antonelli

$150M 交易量

$554K today

$12M Liq.

194

Ends 7 个月内

NFL Champion 2027

NFL Champion 2027

11%

Seattle Seahawks

$26M 交易量

$159K today

$3M Liq.

21

Ends 9 个月内

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

15%

Los Angeles Rams

$5M 交易量

$877K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

Pro Football: Where will Dexter Lawrence play Week 1?

Pro Football: Where will Dexter Lawrence play Week 1?

79%

Cincinnati Bengals

$8.4K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

Pro Football: NFC North Champion

Pro Football: NFC North Champion

34%

Detroit Lions

$3.4K 交易量

$9.2K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason

Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason

90%

Buffalo Bills

$3 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Premiership Rugby: Winner

Premiership Rugby: Winner

1%

Bath

$116 交易量

$21 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?

Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?

47%

Chicago Bears

$11.4K 交易量

$993 Liq.

3

Ends 4 个月内

Delaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Delaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner

95%

Chris Coons

$11.1K 交易量

$26.2K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

Premiership Rugby: Bristol Bears vs Bath

Premiership Rugby: Bristol Bears vs Bath

49%

Draw

$2 交易量

$14 Liq.

Ends 20 天内

Premiership Rugby: Sale Sharks vs Bristol Bears

Premiership Rugby: Sale Sharks vs Bristol Bears

49%

Sale Sharks

$0 交易量

$16 Liq.

Ends 27 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)

Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)

West Virginia Mountaineers

$207 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 个月前

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (W)

Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (W)

Mercer Bears

$3.0K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 个月前

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eagles

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eagles

50%

Hanwha Eagles

$0 交易量

$87 Liq.

Ends 12 天内

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$1.9K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 熊 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 118 个活跃的 熊 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Tony Awards: Best Play Winner"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $183.3M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (W)"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"F1 Drivers' Champion",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"F1 Drivers' Champion",市场目前认为 Kimi Antonelli 的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 熊 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。