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预测与赔率

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How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

41%

35%

$82.7K 交易量

$22.3K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

44%

3.9%

$216K 交易量

$24.1K Liq.

3

Ends 7 个月内

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

51%

↓ $85

$24M 交易量

$303K today

$1M Liq.

26

Ends 23 天内

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

62%

↑ $100

$2M 交易量

$253K today

$705K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

85%

↓ $4,300

$6M 交易量

$676K Liq.

2

Ends 23 天内

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

94%

↑$1.1T

$1M 交易量

$377K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

89%

↓ $730

$158K 交易量

$94.8K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

54%

↓ $65

$5M 交易量

$470K Liq.

1

Ends 23 天内

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in June 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in June 2026?

87%

↓ $4,300

$164K 交易量

$105K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

97%

↑$1.6T

$445K 交易量

$69.9K Liq.

15

Ends 24 天内

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

41%

↓ $7,100

$376K 交易量

$32.3K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in June 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in June 2026?

78%

↓ $66

$66.2K 交易量

$71.2K Liq.

7

Ends 23 天内

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

38%

↑$850B

$183K 交易量

$40.5K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

31%

↑ $1.1T

$355K 交易量

$75.0K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

What will Trump say this week? (June 2 - 7)

What will Trump say this week? (June 2 - 7)

7%

Hottest Nation

$19.5K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 8 小时内

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

78%

↓ $200

$59.7K 交易量

$12.5K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in June 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in June 2026?

65%

↓ $375

$33.7K 交易量

$26.6K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

92%

↑$900B

$589K 交易量

$63.2K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in June 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in June 2026?

67%

↓ $350

$27.5K 交易量

$19.7K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in June 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in June 2026?

83%

↓ $580

$175K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 低 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 302 个活跃的 低 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $40.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?",市场目前认为 ↓ $85 的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 低 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。