Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization (ETA) last month. The ban, citing his presence as "not conducive to the public good" amid past antisemitic controversies, derailed his planned headline slots at Wireless Festival 2026, forcing the event's full cancellation. With no verified appeals, public statements, or alternative travel announcements in the intervening weeks, traders see insurmountable barriers. An upset would require a swift legal reversal or unpublicized private entry, though historical patterns for such high-profile exclusions suggest low likelihood before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国？
Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国？
是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
是
最新
最新
2026-06-30
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization (ETA) last month. The ban, citing his presence as "not conducive to the public good" amid past antisemitic controversies, derailed his planned headline slots at Wireless Festival 2026, forcing the event's full cancellation. With no verified appeals, public statements, or alternative travel announcements in the intervening weeks, traders see insurmountable barriers. An upset would require a swift legal reversal or unpublicized private entry, though historical patterns for such high-profile exclusions suggest low likelihood before the deadline.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
交易量
$3,498结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization (ETA) last month. The ban, citing his presence as "not conducive to the public good" amid past antisemitic controversies, derailed his planned headline slots at Wireless Festival 2026, forcing the event's full cancellation. With no verified appeals, public statements, or alternative travel announcements in the intervening weeks, traders see insurmountable barriers. An upset would require a swift legal reversal or unpublicized private entry, though historical patterns for such high-profile exclusions suggest low likelihood before the deadline.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$3,498结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 92.5% implied probability for Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's confirmed denial of his Electronic Travel Authorization (ETA) last month. The ban, citing his presence as "not conducive to the public good" amid past antisemitic controversies, derailed his planned headline slots at Wireless Festival 2026, forcing the event's full cancellation. With no verified appeals, public statements, or alternative travel announcements in the intervening weeks, traders see insurmountable barriers. An upset would require a swift legal reversal or unpublicized private entry, though historical patterns for such high-profile exclusions suggest low likelihood before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题