Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" surpassing 250k first-week album equivalent units at 100% implied probability, fueled by HITS Daily Double's latest projection of 370k total activity—including a robust 170k pure sales and over 200 million streams, the year's biggest streaming debut to date. This surge builds on explosive launch metrics like 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks, a No. 1 UK Albums Chart bow with 55k units, and midweek tracking that escalated from 335k. Momentum from Kahan's "Stick Season" era and strategic promo, including Spotify fan events, cements frontrunner status; an upset would require an unprecedented late-week sales collapse or tracking anomaly, both highly improbable given locked final previews ahead of Billboard's Tuesday confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?
Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?
250k+ 100.0%
<125k <1%
125k-150k <1%
150k-175k <1%
$11,975 交易量
$11,975 交易量
2026-05-01
<125k
No
125k-150k
No
150k-175k
No
175k-200k
No
200k-225k
No
225k-250k
No
250k+
Yes
250k+ 100.0%
<125k <1%
125k-150k <1%
150k-175k <1%
$11,975 交易量
$11,975 交易量
2026-05-01
<125k
$1,065 交易量
No
125k-150k
$973 交易量
No
150k-175k
$857 交易量
No
175k-200k
$738 交易量
No
200k-225k
$794 交易量
No
225k-250k
$776 交易量
No
250k+
$6,771 交易量
Yes
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" surpassing 250k first-week album equivalent units at 100% implied probability, fueled by HITS Daily Double's latest projection of 370k total activity—including a robust 170k pure sales and over 200 million streams, the year's biggest streaming debut to date. This surge builds on explosive launch metrics like 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks, a No. 1 UK Albums Chart bow with 55k units, and midweek tracking that escalated from 335k. Momentum from Kahan's "Stick Season" era and strategic promo, including Spotify fan events, cements frontrunner status; an upset would require an unprecedented late-week sales collapse or tracking anomaly, both highly improbable given locked final previews ahead of Billboard's Tuesday confirmation.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$11,975结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" surpassing 250k first-week album equivalent units at 100% implied probability, fueled by HITS Daily Double's latest projection of 370k total activity—including a robust 170k pure sales and over 200 million streams, the year's biggest streaming debut to date. This surge builds on explosive launch metrics like 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks, a No. 1 UK Albums Chart bow with 55k units, and midweek tracking that escalated from 335k. Momentum from Kahan's "Stick Season" era and strategic promo, including Spotify fan events, cements frontrunner status; an upset would require an unprecedented late-week sales collapse or tracking anomaly, both highly improbable given locked final previews ahead of Billboard's Tuesday confirmation.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$11,975结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" surpassing 250k first-week album equivalent units at 100% implied probability, fueled by HITS Daily Double's latest projection of 370k total activity—including a robust 170k pure sales and over 200 million streams, the year's biggest streaming debut to date. This surge builds on explosive launch metrics like 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks, a No. 1 UK Albums Chart bow with 55k units, and midweek tracking that escalated from 335k. Momentum from Kahan's "Stick Season" era and strategic promo, including Spotify fan events, cements frontrunner status; an upset would require an unprecedented late-week sales collapse or tracking anomaly, both highly improbable given locked final previews ahead of Billboard's Tuesday confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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