Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.6% to around $4,490 per ounce on March 28, rebounding from weekly lows near $4,420 amid bargain hunting after a sharp 8% monthly drop, as a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing Treasury yields—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven oil spikes and persistent inflation—curbed rate-cut expectations for 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, with implied probabilities pricing limited upside amid reduced Fed dovishness and real yield pressures, despite ongoing central bank purchases providing a floor. With March 31 resolution imminent, focus shifts to today's Core PCE data release, potential FOMC hints, and dollar index (DXY) moves, which could trigger volatility in this time-sensitive market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$3,047,522 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
<1%
↓ 4,300美元
8%
↓ 4,000美元
2%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$3,047,522 交易量
↑ $10,000
$322,547 交易量
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,178 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,600
$107,212 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,488 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,200
$104,432 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,000
$42,651 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,800
$77,025 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,600
$71,247 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,500
$64,986 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,400
$181,065 交易量
<1%
↓ 4,300美元
$198,144 交易量
8%
↓ 4,000美元
$230,935 交易量
2%
↓ $3,600
$223,632 交易量
1%
↓ $3,000
$342,735 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.6% to around $4,490 per ounce on March 28, rebounding from weekly lows near $4,420 amid bargain hunting after a sharp 8% monthly drop, as a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing Treasury yields—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven oil spikes and persistent inflation—curbed rate-cut expectations for 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, with implied probabilities pricing limited upside amid reduced Fed dovishness and real yield pressures, despite ongoing central bank purchases providing a floor. With March 31 resolution imminent, focus shifts to today's Core PCE data release, potential FOMC hints, and dollar index (DXY) moves, which could trigger volatility in this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$3,047,522结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.6% to around $4,490 per ounce on March 28, rebounding from weekly lows near $4,420 amid bargain hunting after a sharp 8% monthly drop, as a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing Treasury yields—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven oil spikes and persistent inflation—curbed rate-cut expectations for 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, with implied probabilities pricing limited upside amid reduced Fed dovishness and real yield pressures, despite ongoing central bank purchases providing a floor. With March 31 resolution imminent, focus shifts to today's Core PCE data release, potential FOMC hints, and dollar index (DXY) moves, which could trigger volatility in this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$3,047,522结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Gold futures (GC) rallied 2.6% to around $4,490 per ounce on March 28, rebounding from weekly lows near $4,420 amid bargain hunting after a sharp 8% monthly drop, as a stronger U.S. dollar and climbing Treasury yields—fueled by Middle East conflict-driven oil spikes and persistent inflation—curbed rate-cut expectations for 2026. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, with implied probabilities pricing limited upside amid reduced Fed dovishness and real yield pressures, despite ongoing central bank purchases providing a floor. With March 31 resolution imminent, focus shifts to today's Core PCE data release, potential FOMC hints, and dollar index (DXY) moves, which could trigger volatility in this time-sensitive market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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