Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026, trading around $4,520 for the April contract as of March 28 after rebounding 2.55% intraday from six-week lows near $4,370, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index (DXY) above 110 and markets pricing zero Fed rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.8% have pressured the non-yielding asset, overriding safe-haven bids from Middle East tensions and oil shocks. With March 31 resolution imminent, quarter-end rebalancing and March 28 Kansas Fed Manufacturing data loom as catalysts, alongside potential volatility from geopolitical escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,983,127 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ 4,300美元
9%
↓ 4,000美元
3%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$2,983,127 交易量
↑ $10,000
$322,547 交易量
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,158 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,600
$105,312 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,488 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,200
$96,505 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,000
$42,641 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,800
$77,015 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,600
$70,513 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,500
$64,976 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,400
$178,844 交易量
1%
↓ 4,300美元
$195,406 交易量
9%
↓ 4,000美元
$228,450 交易量
3%
↓ $3,600
$216,243 交易量
1%
↓ $3,000
$303,588 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026, trading around $4,520 for the April contract as of March 28 after rebounding 2.55% intraday from six-week lows near $4,370, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index (DXY) above 110 and markets pricing zero Fed rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.8% have pressured the non-yielding asset, overriding safe-haven bids from Middle East tensions and oil shocks. With March 31 resolution imminent, quarter-end rebalancing and March 28 Kansas Fed Manufacturing data loom as catalysts, alongside potential volatility from geopolitical escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,983,127结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026, trading around $4,520 for the April contract as of March 28 after rebounding 2.55% intraday from six-week lows near $4,370, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index (DXY) above 110 and markets pricing zero Fed rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.8% have pressured the non-yielding asset, overriding safe-haven bids from Middle East tensions and oil shocks. With March 31 resolution imminent, quarter-end rebalancing and March 28 Kansas Fed Manufacturing data loom as catalysts, alongside potential volatility from geopolitical escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$2,983,127结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026, trading around $4,520 for the April contract as of March 28 after rebounding 2.55% intraday from six-week lows near $4,370, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index (DXY) above 110 and markets pricing zero Fed rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures. Hawkish Federal Reserve communications and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.8% have pressured the non-yielding asset, overriding safe-haven bids from Middle East tensions and oil shocks. With March 31 resolution imminent, quarter-end rebalancing and March 28 Kansas Fed Manufacturing data loom as catalysts, alongside potential volatility from geopolitical escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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