Gold futures (GC) have plunged over 20% from January 2026 highs above $5,500 to current levels near $4,500 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index, rising Treasury yields, and fading geopolitical safe-haven demand following President Trump's extension of Hormuz Strait deadlines amid U.S.-Iran talks. March's 15-17% drawdown prompted profit-taking and momentum unwind, though a 3% rebound on March 27 signals dip-buying interest amid persistent inflation concerns delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts. With settlement looming on March 31, quarter-end rebalancing and consumer sentiment data could spur volatility, but sustained USD strength caps upside potential in this skin-in-the-game market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,955,697 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ 4,300美元
12%
↓ 4,000美元
3%
↓ $3,600
1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$2,955,697 交易量
↑ $10,000
$321,499 交易量
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,125 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,600
$105,312 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,488 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,200
$90,702 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,000
$42,571 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,800
$76,923 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,600
$68,953 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,500
$64,533 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,400
$178,040 交易量
1%
↓ 4,300美元
$193,080 交易量
12%
↓ 4,000美元
$227,538 交易量
3%
↓ $3,600
$210,252 交易量
1%
↓ $3,000
$295,255 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have plunged over 20% from January 2026 highs above $5,500 to current levels near $4,500 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index, rising Treasury yields, and fading geopolitical safe-haven demand following President Trump's extension of Hormuz Strait deadlines amid U.S.-Iran talks. March's 15-17% drawdown prompted profit-taking and momentum unwind, though a 3% rebound on March 27 signals dip-buying interest amid persistent inflation concerns delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts. With settlement looming on March 31, quarter-end rebalancing and consumer sentiment data could spur volatility, but sustained USD strength caps upside potential in this skin-in-the-game market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,955,697结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have plunged over 20% from January 2026 highs above $5,500 to current levels near $4,500 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index, rising Treasury yields, and fading geopolitical safe-haven demand following President Trump's extension of Hormuz Strait deadlines amid U.S.-Iran talks. March's 15-17% drawdown prompted profit-taking and momentum unwind, though a 3% rebound on March 27 signals dip-buying interest amid persistent inflation concerns delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts. With settlement looming on March 31, quarter-end rebalancing and consumer sentiment data could spur volatility, but sustained USD strength caps upside potential in this skin-in-the-game market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$2,955,697结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have plunged over 20% from January 2026 highs above $5,500 to current levels near $4,500 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus on a stronger U.S. dollar index, rising Treasury yields, and fading geopolitical safe-haven demand following President Trump's extension of Hormuz Strait deadlines amid U.S.-Iran talks. March's 15-17% drawdown prompted profit-taking and momentum unwind, though a 3% rebound on March 27 signals dip-buying interest amid persistent inflation concerns delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts. With settlement looming on March 31, quarter-end rebalancing and consumer sentiment data could spur volatility, but sustained USD strength caps upside potential in this skin-in-the-game market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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