Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 91.3% implied probability to top Dune Messiah's opening weekend gross, fueled by Marvel's storied box office dominance—Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and the electric buzz from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting reveal at San Diego Comic-Con last summer, reigniting MCU fervor. Dune 3, targeting December 2026 after Part Two's solid $82.5 million debut, benefits from Denis Villeneuve's prestige but faces an uphill battle against Marvel's global event-movie scale and presale potential. While production delays, escalating MCU fatigue, or an unprecedented Dune streaming-to-theatrical crossover could challenge this, historical precedents make upsets improbable ahead of 2026 trailers and tracking data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于《沙丘3》或《复仇者联盟：世界末日》在开幕周末的销量会增加吗？
《沙丘3》或《复仇者联盟：世界末日》在开幕周末的销量会增加吗？
沙丘3
$33,441 交易量
$33,441 交易量
Dec 20, 2026
沙丘3
$33,441 交易量
$33,441 交易量
Dec 20, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 91.3% implied probability to top Dune Messiah's opening weekend gross, fueled by Marvel's storied box office dominance—Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and the electric buzz from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting reveal at San Diego Comic-Con last summer, reigniting MCU fervor. Dune 3, targeting December 2026 after Part Two's solid $82.5 million debut, benefits from Denis Villeneuve's prestige but faces an uphill battle against Marvel's global event-movie scale and presale potential. While production delays, escalating MCU fatigue, or an unprecedented Dune streaming-to-theatrical crossover could challenge this, historical precedents make upsets improbable ahead of 2026 trailers and tracking data.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$33,441结束日期
Dec 20, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 91.3% implied probability to top Dune Messiah's opening weekend gross, fueled by Marvel's storied box office dominance—Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and the electric buzz from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting reveal at San Diego Comic-Con last summer, reigniting MCU fervor. Dune 3, targeting December 2026 after Part Two's solid $82.5 million debut, benefits from Denis Villeneuve's prestige but faces an uphill battle against Marvel's global event-movie scale and presale potential. While production delays, escalating MCU fatigue, or an unprecedented Dune streaming-to-theatrical crossover could challenge this, historical precedents make upsets improbable ahead of 2026 trailers and tracking data.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
交易量
$33,441结束日期
Dec 20, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 91.3% implied probability to top Dune Messiah's opening weekend gross, fueled by Marvel's storied box office dominance—Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and the electric buzz from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting reveal at San Diego Comic-Con last summer, reigniting MCU fervor. Dune 3, targeting December 2026 after Part Two's solid $82.5 million debut, benefits from Denis Villeneuve's prestige but faces an uphill battle against Marvel's global event-movie scale and presale potential. While production delays, escalating MCU fatigue, or an unprecedented Dune streaming-to-theatrical crossover could challenge this, historical precedents make upsets improbable ahead of 2026 trailers and tracking data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题