Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, delivered fragmented Folketing results, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats claiming 38 seats as the largest party, yet the red bloc totaling 86—short of the 90 needed for majority in the 179-seat parliament. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to spearhead coalition negotiations, potentially aligning her party with Green Left (20 seats), Red-Green Alliance (11), Social Liberals (10), and kingmaker Moderates (14), amid opposition from the blue bloc's 78 seats led by Venstre (18). Talks, underway since March 27, grapple with welfare reforms, cost-of-living pressures, agriculture, and green transition; historical patterns suggest weeks of haggling before the next minority or coalition government emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$17,985 交易量
Mar 24, 2026
Moderates
97%
Danish Social Liberal Party
77%
Green Left
81%
Venstre
45%
Conservative People’s Party
27%
Denmark Democrats
24%
Liberal Alliance
14%
The Alternative
5%
Red–Green Alliance
16%
Naleraq
3%
Danish People’s Party
10%
Inuit Ataqatigiit
1%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
<1%
Union Party
<1%
Social Democrats
69%
$17,985 交易量
Moderates
$1,155 交易量
97%
Danish Social Liberal Party
$0 交易量
77%
Green Left
$688 交易量
81%
Venstre
$0 交易量
45%
Conservative People’s Party
$80 交易量
27%
Denmark Democrats
$135 交易量
24%
Liberal Alliance
$0 交易量
14%
The Alternative
$2,967 交易量
5%
Red–Green Alliance
$832 交易量
16%
Naleraq
$0 交易量
3%
Danish People’s Party
$380 交易量
10%
Inuit Ataqatigiit
$0 交易量
1%
Citizens’ Party
$3,071 交易量
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
$415 交易量
<1%
Union Party
$6,357 交易量
<1%
Social Democrats
$1,906 交易量
69%
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, delivered fragmented Folketing results, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats claiming 38 seats as the largest party, yet the red bloc totaling 86—short of the 90 needed for majority in the 179-seat parliament. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to spearhead coalition negotiations, potentially aligning her party with Green Left (20 seats), Red-Green Alliance (11), Social Liberals (10), and kingmaker Moderates (14), amid opposition from the blue bloc's 78 seats led by Venstre (18). Talks, underway since March 27, grapple with welfare reforms, cost-of-living pressures, agriculture, and green transition; historical patterns suggest weeks of haggling before the next minority or coalition government emerges.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$17,985结束日期
Mar 24, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, delivered fragmented Folketing results, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats claiming 38 seats as the largest party, yet the red bloc totaling 86—short of the 90 needed for majority in the 179-seat parliament. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to spearhead coalition negotiations, potentially aligning her party with Green Left (20 seats), Red-Green Alliance (11), Social Liberals (10), and kingmaker Moderates (14), amid opposition from the blue bloc's 78 seats led by Venstre (18). Talks, underway since March 27, grapple with welfare reforms, cost-of-living pressures, agriculture, and green transition; historical patterns suggest weeks of haggling before the next minority or coalition government emerges.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
交易量
$17,985结束日期
Mar 24, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, delivered fragmented Folketing results, with Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats claiming 38 seats as the largest party, yet the red bloc totaling 86—short of the 90 needed for majority in the 179-seat parliament. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to spearhead coalition negotiations, potentially aligning her party with Green Left (20 seats), Red-Green Alliance (11), Social Liberals (10), and kingmaker Moderates (14), amid opposition from the blue bloc's 78 seats led by Venstre (18). Talks, underway since March 27, grapple with welfare reforms, cost-of-living pressures, agriculture, and green transition; historical patterns suggest weeks of haggling before the next minority or coalition government emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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