President Biden signed a $1.2 trillion bipartisan spending package on March 23, fully funding the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) through fiscal year 2024 ending September 30 and averting a government shutdown after tense weekend negotiations in Congress. House passage of the six-bill omnibus followed Senate approval, overcoming GOP demands for spending cuts and Democratic resistance to policy riders like border security measures. This rapid resolution drives trader consensus toward "Before April 1" at 31%, with other April windows clustered tightly at 23-27% amid lingering uncertainty over any partial funding lapses for DHS programs or future continuing resolutions. No new shutdown triggers have emerged in the past week, but procedural confirmations or agency implementation could influence final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月1日之前 31%
4月9日至12日 27%
4月13日至16日 27%
4月17日至20日 27%
4月1日之前
31%
4月1日至4日
25%
4月5日至8日
26%
4月9日至12日
27%
4月13日至16日
27%
4月17日至20日
27%
4月21日至24日
24%
4月25日至28日
24%
4月29日至30日
24%
4月30日之后
25%
4月1日之前 31%
4月9日至12日 27%
4月13日至16日 27%
4月17日至20日 27%
4月1日之前
31%
4月1日至4日
25%
4月5日至8日
26%
4月9日至12日
27%
4月13日至16日
27%
4月17日至20日
27%
4月21日至24日
24%
4月25日至28日
24%
4月29日至30日
24%
4月30日之后
25%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Biden signed a $1.2 trillion bipartisan spending package on March 23, fully funding the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) through fiscal year 2024 ending September 30 and averting a government shutdown after tense weekend negotiations in Congress. House passage of the six-bill omnibus followed Senate approval, overcoming GOP demands for spending cuts and Democratic resistance to policy riders like border security measures. This rapid resolution drives trader consensus toward "Before April 1" at 31%, with other April windows clustered tightly at 23-27% amid lingering uncertainty over any partial funding lapses for DHS programs or future continuing resolutions. No new shutdown triggers have emerged in the past week, but procedural confirmations or agency implementation could influence final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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