Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff at May 26, 2026, closely split among 0.6–0.9 million (28.5%), 1.2–1.5 million (28.5%), and 0.9–1.2 million (26.0%) votes, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 50–70% drops—from initial primaries due to voter fatigue after the March 3 contest that saw record midterm turnout exceeding prior cycles. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced without a majority, fueling a high-stakes rematch, but recent polls showing Paxton leading 53–37% have yet to translate into clear mobilization signals. Dynamics remain tight amid uncertainty over early voting (May 18–22), voter registration deadline (April 27), and potential endorsements boosting base turnout in this contested intraparty battle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于60–90万 35%
120万–150万 29%
210万–240万 20%
180万–210万 20%
NEW
NEW
May 26, 2026
<60万
8%
60–90万
35%
90万–120万
25%
120万–150万
29%
150万–180万
19%
180万–210万
20%
210万–240万
20%
2.4–2.7百万
12%
270万+
8%
60–90万 35%
120万–150万 29%
210万–240万 20%
180万–210万 20%
NEW
NEW
May 26, 2026
<60万
$0 交易量
8%
60–90万
$0 交易量
35%
90万–120万
$0 交易量
25%
120万–150万
$3,693 交易量
29%
150万–180万
$0 交易量
19%
180万–210万
$0 交易量
20%
210万–240万
$0 交易量
20%
2.4–2.7百万
$0 交易量
12%
270万+
$0 交易量
8%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff at May 26, 2026, closely split among 0.6–0.9 million (28.5%), 1.2–1.5 million (28.5%), and 0.9–1.2 million (26.0%) votes, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 50–70% drops—from initial primaries due to voter fatigue after the March 3 contest that saw record midterm turnout exceeding prior cycles. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced without a majority, fueling a high-stakes rematch, but recent polls showing Paxton leading 53–37% have yet to translate into clear mobilization signals. Dynamics remain tight amid uncertainty over early voting (May 18–22), voter registration deadline (April 27), and potential endorsements boosting base turnout in this contested intraparty battle.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
交易量
$3,693结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff at May 26, 2026, closely split among 0.6–0.9 million (28.5%), 1.2–1.5 million (28.5%), and 0.9–1.2 million (26.0%) votes, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 50–70% drops—from initial primaries due to voter fatigue after the March 3 contest that saw record midterm turnout exceeding prior cycles. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced without a majority, fueling a high-stakes rematch, but recent polls showing Paxton leading 53–37% have yet to translate into clear mobilization signals. Dynamics remain tight amid uncertainty over early voting (May 18–22), voter registration deadline (April 27), and potential endorsements boosting base turnout in this contested intraparty battle.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$3,693结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas Senate Republican primary runoff at May 26, 2026, closely split among 0.6–0.9 million (28.5%), 1.2–1.5 million (28.5%), and 0.9–1.2 million (26.0%) votes, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 50–70% drops—from initial primaries due to voter fatigue after the March 3 contest that saw record midterm turnout exceeding prior cycles. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced without a majority, fueling a high-stakes rematch, but recent polls showing Paxton leading 53–37% have yet to translate into clear mobilization signals. Dynamics remain tight amid uncertainty over early voting (May 18–22), voter registration deadline (April 27), and potential endorsements boosting base turnout in this contested intraparty battle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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