Market icon

Trump approval >40% on July 1?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$800,454 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is above 40% on July 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than 40% for a “Yes” resolution; an approval of 40% rating will not qualify.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for July 1 is not published by July 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon), the next previous datapoint will be used to resolve this market.
交易量
$800,454
结束日期
Jul 1, 2025
创建时间
May 9, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is above 40% on July 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than 40% for a “Yes” resolution; an approval of 40% rating will not qualify. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for July 1 is not published by July 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon), the next previous datapoint will be used to resolve this market.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

Trump approval >40% on July 1?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$800,454 交易量

关于

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is above 40% on July 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than 40% for a “Yes” resolution; an approval of 40% rating will not qualify.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for July 1 is not published by July 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon), the next previous datapoint will be used to resolve this market.
交易量
$800,454
结束日期
Jul 1, 2025
创建时间
May 9, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is above 40% on July 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than 40% for a “Yes” resolution; an approval of 40% rating will not qualify. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for July 1 is not published by July 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon), the next previous datapoint will be used to resolve this market.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。