Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,146,711 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
4月30日
5%
6月30日
43%
12月31日
67%
$10,146,711 交易量
3月31日
$794,256 交易量
1%
4月30日
$71,451 交易量
5%
6月30日
$1,289,521 交易量
43%
12月31日
$807,367 交易量
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$10,146,711结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$10,146,711结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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