Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Manuel Saavedra at virtually certain victory in Bolivia's Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election, driven by official results from the Plurinational Electoral Organ confirming his landslide win with over 50% of votes for the Creemos Party candidate. Pre-election polling consistently showed Saavedra's dominance amid strong regional support in Bolivia's wealthiest department, bolstered by effective campaigning and limited opposition cohesion among rivals like Angélica Sosa (MAS) and Vicente Cuéllar. Recent final tallies have locked in this outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on settled electoral reality. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or judicial disputes, remain improbable absent fraud allegations gaining traction, with no major developments signaling shifts.