Trader consensus prices an 86.5% implied probability against Barack Obama facing federal charges before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment despite ongoing DOJ grand jury probes into Obama-era officials over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent developments, including a March 19 subpoena to former FBI Director James Comey and declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard alleging manufactured intelligence by figures like John Brennan and James Clapper, have targeted subordinates but produced no direct charges against Obama. With statutes of limitations expiring on many potential offenses from his presidency, institutional barriers to prosecuting ex-presidents, and no new evidence emerging in recent weeks, markets view escalation to charges as unlikely absent major breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86.5% implied probability against Barack Obama facing federal charges before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment despite ongoing DOJ grand jury probes into Obama-era officials over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent developments, including a March 19 subpoena to former FBI Director James Comey and declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard alleging manufactured intelligence by figures like John Brennan and James Clapper, have targeted subordinates but produced no direct charges against Obama. With statutes of limitations expiring on many potential offenses from his presidency, institutional barriers to prosecuting ex-presidents, and no new evidence emerging in recent weeks, markets view escalation to charges as unlikely absent major breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86.5% implied probability against Barack Obama facing federal charges before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment despite ongoing DOJ grand jury probes into Obama-era officials over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent developments, including a March 19 subpoena to former FBI Director James Comey and declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard alleging manufactured intelligence by figures like John Brennan and James Clapper, have targeted subordinates but produced no direct charges against Obama. With statutes of limitations expiring on many potential offenses from his presidency, institutional barriers to prosecuting ex-presidents, and no new evidence emerging in recent weeks, markets view escalation to charges as unlikely absent major breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 86.5% implied probability against Barack Obama facing federal charges before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment despite ongoing DOJ grand jury probes into Obama-era officials over the 2016 Russia investigation. Recent developments, including a March 19 subpoena to former FBI Director James Comey and declassifications by DNI Tulsi Gabbard alleging manufactured intelligence by figures like John Brennan and James Clapper, have targeted subordinates but produced no direct charges against Obama. With statutes of limitations expiring on many potential offenses from his presidency, institutional barriers to prosecuting ex-presidents, and no new evidence emerging in recent weeks, markets view escalation to charges as unlikely absent major breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题