As of the CDC's October 17, 2024, surveillance summary, the United States has confirmed just two measles cases year-to-date for 2025, both imported with no secondary transmission reported—a sharp decline from 2024's 285 cases across multiple outbreaks. This low count reflects sustained high vaccination coverage above 90% nationally per CDC data, though pockets below herd immunity (95%) in under-vaccinated communities heighten vulnerability to imported cases from global hotspots like Europe and India, where WHO reports surging circulation. Trader consensus weighs epidemiological baselines showing rare Q1 U.S. outbreaks absent major introductions. Watch for the next CDC weekly update on November 1, which tracks confirmed lab-diagnosed cases via the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System; new clusters could shift dynamics before the March 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月31日前美国麻疹病例?
3月31日前美国麻疹病例?
$245,708 交易量
1500
100%
1550
91%
1575
63%
1600
12%
1625
5%
1650
5%
1700
2%
$245,708 交易量
1500
100%
1550
91%
1575
63%
1600
12%
1625
5%
1650
5%
1700
2%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
市场开放时间: Feb 27, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of the CDC's October 17, 2024, surveillance summary, the United States has confirmed just two measles cases year-to-date for 2025, both imported with no secondary transmission reported—a sharp decline from 2024's 285 cases across multiple outbreaks. This low count reflects sustained high vaccination coverage above 90% nationally per CDC data, though pockets below herd immunity (95%) in under-vaccinated communities heighten vulnerability to imported cases from global hotspots like Europe and India, where WHO reports surging circulation. Trader consensus weighs epidemiological baselines showing rare Q1 U.S. outbreaks absent major introductions. Watch for the next CDC weekly update on November 1, which tracks confirmed lab-diagnosed cases via the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System; new clusters could shift dynamics before the March 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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