With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under a mixed-member majoritarian system—106 single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post and 93 proportional seats via national list requiring a 5% threshold for parties—recent late-March polls drive trader focus on three likely entrants: challenger Tisza party (led by Péter Magyar) leading at 48-52% among decided voters per independent surveys like Publicus and Závecz, incumbent Fidesz-KDNP trailing at 37-40%, and far-right Mi Hazánk hovering at 5-8%. Tisza's widened double-digit edge reflects voter frustration with 16-year Fidesz rule amid Druzhba pipeline disruptions and mutual foreign interference claims involving Ukraine and Russia; government polls narrow the gap, underscoring volatility, while Fidesz's district gerrymandering advantages could shape post-vote coalition negotiations despite national trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$78,925 交易量
2026-04-12
Mi Hazánk
77%
MKKP
4%
DK
4%
$78,925 交易量
Mi Hazánk
$63,297 交易量
77%
MKKP
$4,796 交易量
4%
DK
$10,832 交易量
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under a mixed-member majoritarian system—106 single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post and 93 proportional seats via national list requiring a 5% threshold for parties—recent late-March polls drive trader focus on three likely entrants: challenger Tisza party (led by Péter Magyar) leading at 48-52% among decided voters per independent surveys like Publicus and Závecz, incumbent Fidesz-KDNP trailing at 37-40%, and far-right Mi Hazánk hovering at 5-8%. Tisza's widened double-digit edge reflects voter frustration with 16-year Fidesz rule amid Druzhba pipeline disruptions and mutual foreign interference claims involving Ukraine and Russia; government polls narrow the gap, underscoring volatility, while Fidesz's district gerrymandering advantages could shape post-vote coalition negotiations despite national trends.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
交易量
$78,925结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under a mixed-member majoritarian system—106 single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post and 93 proportional seats via national list requiring a 5% threshold for parties—recent late-March polls drive trader focus on three likely entrants: challenger Tisza party (led by Péter Magyar) leading at 48-52% among decided voters per independent surveys like Publicus and Závecz, incumbent Fidesz-KDNP trailing at 37-40%, and far-right Mi Hazánk hovering at 5-8%. Tisza's widened double-digit edge reflects voter frustration with 16-year Fidesz rule amid Druzhba pipeline disruptions and mutual foreign interference claims involving Ukraine and Russia; government polls narrow the gap, underscoring volatility, while Fidesz's district gerrymandering advantages could shape post-vote coalition negotiations despite national trends.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$78,925结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under a mixed-member majoritarian system—106 single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post and 93 proportional seats via national list requiring a 5% threshold for parties—recent late-March polls drive trader focus on three likely entrants: challenger Tisza party (led by Péter Magyar) leading at 48-52% among decided voters per independent surveys like Publicus and Závecz, incumbent Fidesz-KDNP trailing at 37-40%, and far-right Mi Hazánk hovering at 5-8%. Tisza's widened double-digit edge reflects voter frustration with 16-year Fidesz rule amid Druzhba pipeline disruptions and mutual foreign interference claims involving Ukraine and Russia; government polls narrow the gap, underscoring volatility, while Fidesz's district gerrymandering advantages could shape post-vote coalition negotiations despite national trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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