Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 uses proportional representation with a 5% national vote threshold for parties to enter the unicameral National Assembly, potentially determining Fidesz's long-held supermajority or enabling a Tisza-led opposition shift. Recent independent polls like Medián (March 17-20) show Tisza at 58% and Fidesz at 35% among decided voters, though Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races; far-right Mi Hazánk hovers at 6-7%, nearing entry, while DK and others lag below 5%. Escalating final-week tensions include mutual accusations of voter intimidation, blackmail plots, and smear campaigns, with Orbán deploying soldiers amid international scrutiny from U.S. conservatives. Trader consensus reflects poll discrepancies and mobilization risks in this closely contested proportional vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$17,170 交易量
2026-04-12
Mi Hazánk
74%
MKKP
7%
DK
2%
$17,170 交易量
Mi Hazánk
$12,601 交易量
74%
MKKP
$1,337 交易量
7%
DK
$3,232 交易量
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 uses proportional representation with a 5% national vote threshold for parties to enter the unicameral National Assembly, potentially determining Fidesz's long-held supermajority or enabling a Tisza-led opposition shift. Recent independent polls like Medián (March 17-20) show Tisza at 58% and Fidesz at 35% among decided voters, though Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races; far-right Mi Hazánk hovers at 6-7%, nearing entry, while DK and others lag below 5%. Escalating final-week tensions include mutual accusations of voter intimidation, blackmail plots, and smear campaigns, with Orbán deploying soldiers amid international scrutiny from U.S. conservatives. Trader consensus reflects poll discrepancies and mobilization risks in this closely contested proportional vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
交易量
$17,170结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 uses proportional representation with a 5% national vote threshold for parties to enter the unicameral National Assembly, potentially determining Fidesz's long-held supermajority or enabling a Tisza-led opposition shift. Recent independent polls like Medián (March 17-20) show Tisza at 58% and Fidesz at 35% among decided voters, though Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races; far-right Mi Hazánk hovers at 6-7%, nearing entry, while DK and others lag below 5%. Escalating final-week tensions include mutual accusations of voter intimidation, blackmail plots, and smear campaigns, with Orbán deploying soldiers amid international scrutiny from U.S. conservatives. Trader consensus reflects poll discrepancies and mobilization risks in this closely contested proportional vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$17,170结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 uses proportional representation with a 5% national vote threshold for parties to enter the unicameral National Assembly, potentially determining Fidesz's long-held supermajority or enabling a Tisza-led opposition shift. Recent independent polls like Medián (March 17-20) show Tisza at 58% and Fidesz at 35% among decided voters, though Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races; far-right Mi Hazánk hovers at 6-7%, nearing entry, while DK and others lag below 5%. Escalating final-week tensions include mutual accusations of voter intimidation, blackmail plots, and smear campaigns, with Orbán deploying soldiers amid international scrutiny from U.S. conservatives. Trader consensus reflects poll discrepancies and mobilization risks in this closely contested proportional vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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