Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 pits incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán against Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, with 199 seats at stake across 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional mandates—a majority requires 100 seats. Recent polls from late March diverge sharply: independent firms like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Publicus (Tisza 49%, Fidesz-KDNP 40%) show Tisza leading nationally, while government pollsters such as Nézőpont (Fidesz-KDNP 47%, Tisza 44%) claim narrow ruling party edges. District surveys project Fidesz-KDNP ahead in most constituencies, bolstered by incumbency and winner-take-all dynamics. Escalating tensions include opposition allegations of ruling party voter intimidation via cash and drugs, heightening uncertainty in this polarized contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$186,422 交易量
2026-04-12
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63%
80+
45%
90+
37%
100+
31%
110+
15%
$186,422 交易量
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$822 交易量
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70+
$1,592 交易量
63%
80+
$111,025 交易量
45%
90+
$48,323 交易量
37%
100+
$10,804 交易量
31%
110+
$13,855 交易量
15%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 pits incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán against Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, with 199 seats at stake across 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional mandates—a majority requires 100 seats. Recent polls from late March diverge sharply: independent firms like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Publicus (Tisza 49%, Fidesz-KDNP 40%) show Tisza leading nationally, while government pollsters such as Nézőpont (Fidesz-KDNP 47%, Tisza 44%) claim narrow ruling party edges. District surveys project Fidesz-KDNP ahead in most constituencies, bolstered by incumbency and winner-take-all dynamics. Escalating tensions include opposition allegations of ruling party voter intimidation via cash and drugs, heightening uncertainty in this polarized contest.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$186,422结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 pits incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán against Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, with 199 seats at stake across 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional mandates—a majority requires 100 seats. Recent polls from late March diverge sharply: independent firms like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Publicus (Tisza 49%, Fidesz-KDNP 40%) show Tisza leading nationally, while government pollsters such as Nézőpont (Fidesz-KDNP 47%, Tisza 44%) claim narrow ruling party edges. District surveys project Fidesz-KDNP ahead in most constituencies, bolstered by incumbency and winner-take-all dynamics. Escalating tensions include opposition allegations of ruling party voter intimidation via cash and drugs, heightening uncertainty in this polarized contest.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$186,422结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 pits incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán against Péter Magyar's surging Tisza party, with 199 seats at stake across 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional mandates—a majority requires 100 seats. Recent polls from late March diverge sharply: independent firms like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Publicus (Tisza 49%, Fidesz-KDNP 40%) show Tisza leading nationally, while government pollsters such as Nézőpont (Fidesz-KDNP 47%, Tisza 44%) claim narrow ruling party edges. District surveys project Fidesz-KDNP ahead in most constituencies, bolstered by incumbency and winner-take-all dynamics. Escalating tensions include opposition allegations of ruling party voter intimidation via cash and drugs, heightening uncertainty in this polarized contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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