Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations, verified by the China Meteorological Administration, recorded the highest temperature at precisely 29°C on March 26, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cooler northerly airflow limited solar heating and convective activity, consistent with ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS that projected a midday peak below 30°C amid typical late-March conditions in the region. Historical data shows Shenzhen's March highs averaging 27–29°C, reinforcing this positioning. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from ancillary sensors, no realistic scenarios remain to shift odds toward 30°C or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$154,485 交易量
$154,485 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$154,485 交易量
$154,485 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
20°C or below
$0 交易量
No
21°C
$0 交易量
No
22°C
$0 交易量
No
23°C
$0 交易量
No
24°C
$0 交易量
No
25°C
$0 交易量
No
26°C
$0 交易量
No
27°C
$0 交易量
No
28°C
$66,694 交易量
No
29°C
$36,165 交易量
Yes
30°C or higher
$51,625 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations, verified by the China Meteorological Administration, recorded the highest temperature at precisely 29°C on March 26, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cooler northerly airflow limited solar heating and convective activity, consistent with ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS that projected a midday peak below 30°C amid typical late-March conditions in the region. Historical data shows Shenzhen's March highs averaging 27–29°C, reinforcing this positioning. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from ancillary sensors, no realistic scenarios remain to shift odds toward 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
交易量
$154,485结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations, verified by the China Meteorological Administration, recorded the highest temperature at precisely 29°C on March 26, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cooler northerly airflow limited solar heating and convective activity, consistent with ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS that projected a midday peak below 30°C amid typical late-March conditions in the region. Historical data shows Shenzhen's March highs averaging 27–29°C, reinforcing this positioning. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from ancillary sensors, no realistic scenarios remain to shift odds toward 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$154,485结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from Shenzhen stations, verified by the China Meteorological Administration, recorded the highest temperature at precisely 29°C on March 26, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cooler northerly airflow limited solar heating and convective activity, consistent with ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS that projected a midday peak below 30°C amid typical late-March conditions in the region. Historical data shows Shenzhen's March highs averaging 27–29°C, reinforcing this positioning. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from ancillary sensors, no realistic scenarios remain to shift odds toward 30°C or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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