Market icon

Grokipedia released by...?

Market icon

Grokipedia released by...?

$1,388,786 交易量

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,388,786 交易量

Polymarket

October 24

$70,279 交易量

No

October 31

$1,152,051 交易量

Yes

November 7

$15,415 交易量

Yes

November 15

$12,344 交易量

Yes

December 31

$138,697 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI’s Grokipedia is made available to the general public by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If xAI releases a product that is not explicitly named “Grokipedia” but is clearly described and recognized in official announcements as an AI-powered knowledge base or encyclopedia-style product, this market will also resolve to "Yes."

If Grokipedia is released as an embedded feature inside Grok or other xAI products, it will still qualify.

For this market, an announcement alone will not suffice. Grokipedia must actually be released and publicly accessible by the deadline. Once Grokipedia is released in a qualifying manner, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grokipedia must be launched and made publicly accessible in at least one region. Access may be free or paid, as long as it is available to any member of the public. Open beta or rolling waitlists qualify, but closed betas, private testers, enterprise-only releases, or invite-only cohorts do not. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,388,786
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Sep 30, 2025, 8:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI’s Grokipedia is made available to the general public by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If xAI releases a product that is not explicitly named “Grokipedia” but is clearly described and recognized in official announcements as an AI-powered knowledge base or encyclopedia-style product, this market will also resolve to "Yes." If Grokipedia is released as an embedded feature inside Grok or other xAI products, it will still qualify. For this market, an announcement alone will not suffice. Grokipedia must actually be released and publicly accessible by the deadline. Once Grokipedia is released in a qualifying manner, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, regardless of any subsequent reversal, rollback, or withdrawal of access. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grokipedia must be launched and made publicly accessible in at least one region. Access may be free or paid, as long as it is available to any member of the public. Open beta or rolling waitlists qualify, but closed betas, private testers, enterprise-only releases, or invite-only cohorts do not. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Grokipedia released by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"October 31",概率为 100%,其次是"November 7",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Grokipedia released by...?"已产生 $1.4 million 的总交易量(自Oct 1, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Grokipedia released by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Grokipedia released by...?"的当前领先者是"October 31",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"November 7",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Grokipedia released by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。