Germany tops trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability to win Group E, bolstered by their No. 10 FIFA ranking, seven-match win streak under Julian Nagelsmann—including a thrilling 4-3 comeback against Switzerland last week via Florian Wirtz's late double—and a deep squad featuring stars like Havertz. Ecuador follows at 21.0% as the No. 23-ranked side with a resilient CONMEBOL qualification campaign, including a gritty 0-0 draw versus Brazil, positioning them as viable challengers in a group where top two plus best thirds advance. Ivory Coast (7.3%, No. 34) brings AFCON pedigree but faces steeper odds against European and South American firepower, while Curaçao (2.1%, No. 82) rides historic unbeaten Concacaf qualifying as the smallest nation ever to reach the World Cup, though massive talent gaps temper upset hopes absent injuries or form slips.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于德国 73%
厄瓜多尔 21%
科特迪瓦 7.3%
库拉索 1.8%
$18,415 交易量
$18,415 交易量
德国
73%
厄瓜多尔
21%
科特迪瓦
7%
库拉索
2%
德国 73%
厄瓜多尔 21%
科特迪瓦 7.3%
库拉索 1.8%
$18,415 交易量
$18,415 交易量
德国
73%
厄瓜多尔
21%
科特迪瓦
7%
库拉索
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Germany tops trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability to win Group E, bolstered by their No. 10 FIFA ranking, seven-match win streak under Julian Nagelsmann—including a thrilling 4-3 comeback against Switzerland last week via Florian Wirtz's late double—and a deep squad featuring stars like Havertz. Ecuador follows at 21.0% as the No. 23-ranked side with a resilient CONMEBOL qualification campaign, including a gritty 0-0 draw versus Brazil, positioning them as viable challengers in a group where top two plus best thirds advance. Ivory Coast (7.3%, No. 34) brings AFCON pedigree but faces steeper odds against European and South American firepower, while Curaçao (2.1%, No. 82) rides historic unbeaten Concacaf qualifying as the smallest nation ever to reach the World Cup, though massive talent gaps temper upset hopes absent injuries or form slips.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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