Spain's trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability to top Group H stems from their dominant recent form, including a penalty shootout win over Netherlands in March playoffs after a 5-5 aggregate, bolstered by Lamine Yamal and Rodri's returns to the squad despite long-term absences like Mikel Merino's foot surgery and Samu Aghehowa's ACL tear—their depth from Euro 2024 success mitigates this. Uruguay sits at 16% as the chief challenger, leveraging Marcelo Bielsa's tactics, CONMEBOL qualifying strength, and stars like Fede Valverde, though minor injuries like Joaquín Piquerez's ankle issue linger. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.2%), ranked around 60-70, trail due to limited experience and tougher fixtures against the favorites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于西班牙 81%
乌拉圭 16%
沙特阿拉伯 2.4%
佛得角 2.2%
$70,501 交易量
$70,501 交易量
西班牙
81%
乌拉圭
16%
沙特阿拉伯
2%
佛得角
2%
西班牙 81%
乌拉圭 16%
沙特阿拉伯 2.4%
佛得角 2.2%
$70,501 交易量
$70,501 交易量
西班牙
81%
乌拉圭
16%
沙特阿拉伯
2%
佛得角
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability to top Group H stems from their dominant recent form, including a penalty shootout win over Netherlands in March playoffs after a 5-5 aggregate, bolstered by Lamine Yamal and Rodri's returns to the squad despite long-term absences like Mikel Merino's foot surgery and Samu Aghehowa's ACL tear—their depth from Euro 2024 success mitigates this. Uruguay sits at 16% as the chief challenger, leveraging Marcelo Bielsa's tactics, CONMEBOL qualifying strength, and stars like Fede Valverde, though minor injuries like Joaquín Piquerez's ankle issue linger. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.2%), ranked around 60-70, trail due to limited experience and tougher fixtures against the favorites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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