Market icon
体育·世界杯

哪个大洲将赢得2026年国际足联世界杯？

Market icon
体育·世界杯

哪个大洲将赢得2026年国际足联世界杯？

欧洲 69%

南美洲 22%

非洲 3.9%

北美 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,479,244 交易量

欧洲 69%

南美洲 22%

非洲 3.9%

北美 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,479,244 交易量

欧洲

$40,359 交易量

69%

南美洲

$21,312 交易量

22%

非洲

$909,175 交易量

4%

北美

$156,384 交易量

2%

亚洲

$179,185 交易量

2%

大洋洲

$172,830 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth of contenders—evidenced by Spain's Euro 2024 victory over England and consistent deep runs from France, Germany, and Portugal—bolstered by the confederation's 16 qualification slots. South America holds 21.5% as a credible challenger, fueled by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs and atop CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying standings after recent wins over Venezuela and Brazil, with Brazil rebounding via October victories. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) reflect limited historical breakthroughs despite CAF's nine slots and the expanded 48-team format, as ongoing qualifiers show Morocco leading Africa but broader inconsistencies persist.

Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth of contenders—evidenced by Spain's Euro 2024 victory over England and consistent deep runs from France, Germany, and Portugal—bolstered by the confederation's 16 qualification slots. South America holds 21.5% as a credible challenger, fueled by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs and atop CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying standings after recent wins over Venezuela and Brazil, with Brazil rebounding via October victories. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) reflect limited historical breakthroughs despite CAF's nine slots and the expanded 48-team format, as ongoing qualifiers show Morocco leading Africa but broader inconsistencies persist.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth of contenders—evidenced by Spain's Euro 2024 victory over England and consistent deep runs from France, Germany, and Portugal—bolstered by the confederation's 16 qualification slots. South America holds 21.5% as a credible challenger, fueled by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs and atop CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying standings after recent wins over Venezuela and Brazil, with Brazil rebounding via October victories. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) reflect limited historical breakthroughs despite CAF's nine slots and the expanded 48-team format, as ongoing qualifiers show Morocco leading Africa but broader inconsistencies persist.

Trader consensus prices Europe at 68.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth of contenders—evidenced by Spain's Euro 2024 victory over England and consistent deep runs from France, Germany, and Portugal—bolstered by the confederation's 16 qualification slots. South America holds 21.5% as a credible challenger, fueled by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs and atop CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying standings after recent wins over Venezuela and Brazil, with Brazil rebounding via October victories. Lower probabilities for Africa (3.9%), North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) reflect limited historical breakthroughs despite CAF's nine slots and the expanded 48-team format, as ongoing qualifiers show Morocco leading Africa but broader inconsistencies persist.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪个大洲将赢得2026年国际足联世界杯？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"欧洲"，概率为 69%，其次是"南美洲"，概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 69¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 69%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪个大洲将赢得2026年国际足联世界杯？"已产生 $1.5 million 的总交易量（自Dec 8, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪个大洲将赢得2026年国际足联世界杯？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪个大洲将赢得2026年国际足联世界杯？"的当前领先者是"欧洲"，概率为 69%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 69%。紧随其后的结果是"南美洲"，概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪个大洲将赢得2026年国际足联世界杯？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。