Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% to win Group C, driven by their five-time FIFA World Cup champion pedigree, deep talent pool including Vinicius Júnior and Raphinha, and a rebound 3-1 friendly victory over Croatia on March 31 after a 1-2 loss to France the prior week—reinforcing their attacking firepower despite defensive tweaks under coach Dorival Júnior. Morocco's 20% implied probability stems from their stunning 2022 semifinal run, unbeaten CAF qualifiers, and recent friendly wins like 2-1 over Paraguay and against Ecuador, positioning them as the clear second for Round of 32 advancement. Scotland (3.6%) and Haiti (0.4%) trail after Scotland's playoff qualification but back-to-back 0-1 friendly losses to Japan and Côte d'Ivoire, while debutants Haiti drew 1-1 with Iceland; both face steep uphill battles against superior group foes in the expanded 48-team format.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于巴西 77%
摩洛哥 20%
苏格兰 3.6%
海地 <1%
$69,005 交易量
$69,005 交易量
巴西
77%
摩洛哥
20%
苏格兰
4%
海地
<1%
巴西 77%
摩洛哥 20%
苏格兰 3.6%
海地 <1%
$69,005 交易量
$69,005 交易量
巴西
77%
摩洛哥
20%
苏格兰
4%
海地
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% to win Group C, driven by their five-time FIFA World Cup champion pedigree, deep talent pool including Vinicius Júnior and Raphinha, and a rebound 3-1 friendly victory over Croatia on March 31 after a 1-2 loss to France the prior week—reinforcing their attacking firepower despite defensive tweaks under coach Dorival Júnior. Morocco's 20% implied probability stems from their stunning 2022 semifinal run, unbeaten CAF qualifiers, and recent friendly wins like 2-1 over Paraguay and against Ecuador, positioning them as the clear second for Round of 32 advancement. Scotland (3.6%) and Haiti (0.4%) trail after Scotland's playoff qualification but back-to-back 0-1 friendly losses to Japan and Côte d'Ivoire, while debutants Haiti drew 1-1 with Iceland; both face steep uphill battles against superior group foes in the expanded 48-team format.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题