Mercedes holds a commanding 75.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion frontrunner, reflecting their 98-67 points lead over Ferrari after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix. George Russell's Australian GP victory from pole, backed by Kimi Antonelli's runner-up, and Antonelli's China win propelled Mercedes atop both standings, with Russell leading drivers at 51 points. The 2026 regulations have amplified Mercedes' qualifying and race pace advantages, widening the gap as Red Bull and McLaren falter in midfield with 12 and 18 points. Ferrari's 16.5% consensus stems from Charles Leclerc's podiums, but recent Mercedes dominance underscores trader confidence in their early momentum amid 21 races remaining.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于梅赛德斯 76%
法拉利 17%
分组项标题:迈凯伦 3.3%
红牛车队 2.1%
$7,389,882 交易量
$7,389,882 交易量

梅赛德斯
76%

法拉利
17%

分组项标题:迈凯伦
3%

红牛车队
2%

凯迪拉克
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

阿尔派
1%

威廉姆斯
<1%

阿斯顿马丁
<1%

Audi
<1%
梅赛德斯 76%
法拉利 17%
分组项标题:迈凯伦 3.3%
红牛车队 2.1%
$7,389,882 交易量
$7,389,882 交易量

梅赛德斯
76%

法拉利
17%

分组项标题:迈凯伦
3%

红牛车队
2%

凯迪拉克
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

哈斯
1%

阿尔派
1%

威廉姆斯
<1%

阿斯顿马丁
<1%

Audi
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 75.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Champion frontrunner, reflecting their 98-67 points lead over Ferrari after the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix. George Russell's Australian GP victory from pole, backed by Kimi Antonelli's runner-up, and Antonelli's China win propelled Mercedes atop both standings, with Russell leading drivers at 51 points. The 2026 regulations have amplified Mercedes' qualifying and race pace advantages, widening the gap as Red Bull and McLaren falter in midfield with 12 and 18 points. Ferrari's 16.5% consensus stems from Charles Leclerc's podiums, but recent Mercedes dominance underscores trader confidence in their early momentum amid 21 races remaining.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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