Trader consensus gives USA a narrow edge at 41.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup Group D, with the bundled KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR outcome trailing closely at 39.0%, underscoring a fiercely competitive group stage race driven by balanced qualifying form and FIFA rankings. Recent CONCACAF Nations League semis propelled USA's momentum with key wins over Panama, bolstering confidence in stars like Pulisic and McKennie, while Paraguay's Copa América resilience and Australia's Asian Cup final run highlight upset potential via counterattacking styles. No major injuries from latest internationals, but home-soil advantage for hosts USA tempers the pack's European/South American grit, keeping probabilities tightly clustered ahead of tournament kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其 39%
美国 38%
巴拉圭 17%
澳大利亚 5.3%
$12,427 交易量
$12,427 交易量
科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其
39%
美国
42%
巴拉圭
17%
澳大利亚
5%
科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其 39%
美国 38%
巴拉圭 17%
澳大利亚 5.3%
$12,427 交易量
$12,427 交易量
科索沃/罗马尼亚/斯洛伐克/土耳其
39%
美国
42%
巴拉圭
17%
澳大利亚
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives USA a narrow edge at 41.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup Group D, with the bundled KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR outcome trailing closely at 39.0%, underscoring a fiercely competitive group stage race driven by balanced qualifying form and FIFA rankings. Recent CONCACAF Nations League semis propelled USA's momentum with key wins over Panama, bolstering confidence in stars like Pulisic and McKennie, while Paraguay's Copa América resilience and Australia's Asian Cup final run highlight upset potential via counterattacking styles. No major injuries from latest internationals, but home-soil advantage for hosts USA tempers the pack's European/South American grit, keeping probabilities tightly clustered ahead of tournament kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题