Finland's commanding win at UMK 2026 with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—scoring nearly triple the runner-up's points—has propelled it to frontrunner status at 35.8% implied probability, blending violin-driven drama with televote-friendly energy that bookmakers and traders see dominating both jury and public votes in Vienna. France's Monroe follows at 14.1% after the March release of "Regarde!", buoyed by chic pop appeal and strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund rounds out the podium at 10% on melodic ballad momentum from its national final. With all 35 entries unveiled and Eurovisionworld polls live, trader consensus reflects early hype amid a crowded field, though semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16 could shift dynamics via rehearsals and previews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.8%
法国 14.1%
丹麦 10.0%
澳大利亚 6.6%
$54,997,276 交易量
$54,997,276 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
立陶宛
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 35.8%
法国 14.1%
丹麦 10.0%
澳大利亚 6.6%
$54,997,276 交易量
$54,997,276 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
立陶宛
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's commanding win at UMK 2026 with Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—scoring nearly triple the runner-up's points—has propelled it to frontrunner status at 35.8% implied probability, blending violin-driven drama with televote-friendly energy that bookmakers and traders see dominating both jury and public votes in Vienna. France's Monroe follows at 14.1% after the March release of "Regarde!", buoyed by chic pop appeal and strong streaming buzz, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund rounds out the podium at 10% on melodic ballad momentum from its national final. With all 35 entries unveiled and Eurovisionworld polls live, trader consensus reflects early hype amid a crowded field, though semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16 could shift dynamics via rehearsals and previews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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