Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.8% implied probability with their high-energy UMK 2026 winner "Liekinheitin," a Finnish-language powerhouse that swept national juries and ignited televote buzz since its February 28 reveal, propelling it to lead bookmakers and fan polls like Eurovisionworld's. France's 17-year-old Monroe follows at 13.8% after her March 6 internal selection of dramatic "Regarde!," earning jury favoritism alongside Australia's entry. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds third at 9.8% post-DMGP victory with emotive "Før vi går hjem." With all 37 entries unveiled by early March, OGAE fan voting favors Finland, but staging rehearsals and Vienna semis on May 12/14 could shift dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.8%
法国 13.8%
丹麦 9.8%
澳大利亚 6.5%
$54,460,639 交易量
$54,460,639 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
立陶宛
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 35.8%
法国 13.8%
丹麦 9.8%
澳大利亚 6.5%
$54,460,639 交易量
$54,460,639 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
6%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
立陶宛
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.8% implied probability with their high-energy UMK 2026 winner "Liekinheitin," a Finnish-language powerhouse that swept national juries and ignited televote buzz since its February 28 reveal, propelling it to lead bookmakers and fan polls like Eurovisionworld's. France's 17-year-old Monroe follows at 13.8% after her March 6 internal selection of dramatic "Regarde!," earning jury favoritism alongside Australia's entry. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds third at 9.8% post-DMGP victory with emotive "Før vi går hjem." With all 37 entries unveiled by early March, OGAE fan voting favors Finland, but staging rehearsals and Vienna semis on May 12/14 could shift dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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