Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national final victory with "Liekinheitin," which earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential reminiscent of past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." The classical violin-pop fusion has dominated recent betting odds updates and OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, while topping Spotify streams and fan polls. France's Monroe follows at 14% with the sleek "Regarde!," buoyed by pre-live hype despite no staging yet; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund climbed to 9.8% on jury-friendly momentum overtaking France last week. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") hold steady amid competitive previews, as Vienna semifinals loom in mid-May, where staging and rehearsals could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.7%
法国 13.8%
丹麦 9.8%
澳大利亚 6.5%
$54,438,288 交易量
$54,438,288 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 35.7%
法国 13.8%
丹麦 9.8%
澳大利亚 6.5%
$54,438,288 交易量
$54,438,288 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national final victory with "Liekinheitin," which earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential reminiscent of past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." The classical violin-pop fusion has dominated recent betting odds updates and OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, while topping Spotify streams and fan polls. France's Monroe follows at 14% with the sleek "Regarde!," buoyed by pre-live hype despite no staging yet; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund climbed to 9.8% on jury-friendly momentum overtaking France last week. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") hold steady amid competitive previews, as Vienna semifinals loom in mid-May, where staging and rehearsals could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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