Finland commands trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 35.1% implied probability, propelled by the February 28 UMK victory of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," a violin-pop fusion that dominated both jury and public votes in Finland's national final and exploded in early buzz with its high-energy staging and cross-appeal potential. France trails at 13.1% on strong internal selection momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") sits third at 10.4% after a solid Melodi Grand Prix win, reflecting Nordic strength amid wrapping national finals. OGAE fan polls awarding Finland top marks, including from France, have cemented this positioning, though televote dark horses like Israel add upset risk ahead of Vienna rehearsals in May.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.1%
法国 13.1%
丹麦 10.4%
澳大利亚 7.2%
$50,891,159 交易量
$50,891,159 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
3%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
瑞士
1%
克罗地亚
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
芬兰 35.1%
法国 13.1%
丹麦 10.4%
澳大利亚 7.2%
$50,891,159 交易量
$50,891,159 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
10%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
3%
罗马尼亚
2%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
卢森堡
1%
瑞士
1%
克罗地亚
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
挪威
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands trader consensus as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 35.1% implied probability, propelled by the February 28 UMK victory of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," a violin-pop fusion that dominated both jury and public votes in Finland's national final and exploded in early buzz with its high-energy staging and cross-appeal potential. France trails at 13.1% on strong internal selection momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") sits third at 10.4% after a solid Melodi Grand Prix win, reflecting Nordic strength amid wrapping national finals. OGAE fan polls awarding Finland top marks, including from France, have cemented this positioning, though televote dark horses like Israel add upset risk ahead of Vienna rehearsals in May.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题