Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 36.1% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, propelled by its unanimous jury victory and explosive televote surge at UMK on February 28—echoing the high-energy appeal of Finland's past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Strong early OGAE poll support, including 12 points from France, and sustained betting momentum through March have solidified this lead ahead of Vienna's semi-finals on May 12 and 14. France (13.5%) and Denmark (10.6%) trail closely on jury-friendly entries and critical buzz from their national selections, while Australia (6.6%) and Greece (6.3%) draw strength from fan engagement and pop hooks, though the field remains fluid with rehearsals looming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 36.1%
法国 13.5%
丹麦 10.6%
澳大利亚 6.6%
$55,763,537 交易量
$55,763,537 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
立陶宛
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 36.1%
法国 13.5%
丹麦 10.6%
澳大利亚 6.6%
$55,763,537 交易量
$55,763,537 交易量
芬兰
36%
法国
14%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
6%
以色列
4%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
2%
意大利
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
德国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
挪威
1%
立陶宛
1%
瑞士
1%
英国
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 36.1% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner for Eurovision 2026, propelled by its unanimous jury victory and explosive televote surge at UMK on February 28—echoing the high-energy appeal of Finland's past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Strong early OGAE poll support, including 12 points from France, and sustained betting momentum through March have solidified this lead ahead of Vienna's semi-finals on May 12 and 14. France (13.5%) and Denmark (10.6%) trail closely on jury-friendly entries and critical buzz from their national selections, while Australia (6.6%) and Greece (6.3%) draw strength from fan engagement and pop hooks, though the field remains fluid with rehearsals looming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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