Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 36.1% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, where the entry nearly tripled the runner-up's score amid record viewership and strong jury-televote balance, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France (13.8%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail closely, buoyed by their respective internal selection and DMGP win with Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" on February 14, plus recent OGAE fan votes favoring Finland. Pre-parties like today's Eurovision in Concert, confirming 27 acts, amplify buzz, but odds remain fluid ahead of Vienna semifinals in May amid ongoing national finals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 36.0%
法国 13.7%
丹麦 10.3%
澳大利亚 6.6%
$53,463,785 交易量
$53,463,785 交易量

芬兰
36%

法国
14%

丹麦
10%

澳大利亚
7%

希腊
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

乌克兰
3%

意大利
2%

罗马尼亚
2%

捷克
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

马耳他
1%

保加利亚
1%

克罗地亚
1%

德国
1%

卢森堡
1%

比利时
1%

摩尔多瓦
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英国
1%

波兰
1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

爱沙尼亚
<1%

拉脱维亚
<1%

圣马力诺
<1%

亚美尼亚
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

格鲁吉亚
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

黑山
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 36.0%
法国 13.7%
丹麦 10.3%
澳大利亚 6.6%
$53,463,785 交易量
$53,463,785 交易量

芬兰
36%

法国
14%

丹麦
10%

澳大利亚
7%

希腊
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
4%

乌克兰
3%

意大利
2%

罗马尼亚
2%

捷克
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

马耳他
1%

保加利亚
1%

克罗地亚
1%

德国
1%

卢森堡
1%

比利时
1%

摩尔多瓦
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英国
1%

波兰
1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

爱沙尼亚
<1%

拉脱维亚
<1%

圣马力诺
<1%

亚美尼亚
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

格鲁吉亚
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

黑山
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 36.1% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, where the entry nearly tripled the runner-up's score amid record viewership and strong jury-televote balance, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France (13.8%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail closely, buoyed by their respective internal selection and DMGP win with Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" on February 14, plus recent OGAE fan votes favoring Finland. Pre-parties like today's Eurovision in Concert, confirming 27 acts, amplify buzz, but odds remain fluid ahead of Vienna semifinals in May amid ongoing national finals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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