With Eurovision 2025's grand final still six months away in Basel, Switzerland, trader consensus for the 2026 Top 10 market favors historical powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and France, whose consistent televote strength, quality national selections, and recent strong finishes underpin implied probabilities. No 2026 participants or host are confirmed—the winning act from May 2025 will determine the venue and spark bidding buzz. Recent developments center on 2025 previews, including Croatia's BABY LASA reveal and ongoing national final announcements, but no major 2026 shifts. Traders eye May's ceremony for breakout acts building momentum, alongside perennial Big 5 dynamics (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) and Nordic jury appeal as key swing factors in this highly speculative, crowd-sourced forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$77,406 交易量
Finland
89%
Israel
85%
Greece
79%
Sweden
76%
France
76%
Denmark
74%
Ukraine
73%
Australia
70%
Italy
63%
Romania
44%
Bulgaria
40%
Czechia
38%
Moldova
37%
Cyprus
36%
Latvia
32%
Malta
30%
Croatia
26%
Norway
20%
Luxembourg
19%
Albania
18%
United Kingdom
18%
Lithuania
15%
Armenia
15%
Switzerland
14%
Serbia
14%
Germany
12%
Georgia
11%
Poland
11%
Montenegro
11%
Belgium
11%
Portugal
10%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
7%
San Marino
7%
Austria
6%
$77,406 交易量
Finland
89%
Israel
85%
Greece
79%
Sweden
76%
France
76%
Denmark
74%
Ukraine
73%
Australia
70%
Italy
63%
Romania
44%
Bulgaria
40%
Czechia
38%
Moldova
37%
Cyprus
36%
Latvia
32%
Malta
30%
Croatia
26%
Norway
20%
Luxembourg
19%
Albania
18%
United Kingdom
18%
Lithuania
15%
Armenia
15%
Switzerland
14%
Serbia
14%
Germany
12%
Georgia
11%
Poland
11%
Montenegro
11%
Belgium
11%
Portugal
10%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
7%
San Marino
7%
Austria
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With Eurovision 2025's grand final still six months away in Basel, Switzerland, trader consensus for the 2026 Top 10 market favors historical powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and France, whose consistent televote strength, quality national selections, and recent strong finishes underpin implied probabilities. No 2026 participants or host are confirmed—the winning act from May 2025 will determine the venue and spark bidding buzz. Recent developments center on 2025 previews, including Croatia's BABY LASA reveal and ongoing national final announcements, but no major 2026 shifts. Traders eye May's ceremony for breakout acts building momentum, alongside perennial Big 5 dynamics (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) and Nordic jury appeal as key swing factors in this highly speculative, crowd-sourced forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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